Posted on 10/12/2008 9:42:58 AM PDT by Maelstorm
HUNTINGTON, W.Va. (WSAZ) – It has been reported for months that John McCain would have a relatively easy time winning West Virginia, but a new poll shows Barack Obama has made quite the comeback.
The American Research Group reported that for the first time Obama has taken the lead here in the Mountain State. The poll shows that if the election were held today, Obama would capture 50 percent of the vote compared with Republican presidential candidate McCain's 42 percent.
This is a big turn around from previous polls, which showed McCain leading by a wide margin in West Virginia.
(Excerpt) Read more at wsaz.com ...
Uh.. yeah, right, ok, sure thing.
Hey, I hear Obama is going to win Texas also.
THIS POLL IS LAUGHABLE. YOU ARE KIDDING ME, RIGHT???
Yes, Arizona and Montana too.
There. is. no. way. Obama. will. win. West. Virginia. NONE.
Oh no not this $#@! again!
The ARG poll shows they sampled 55% Democrat, 35% Republican.
If they spotted Obama a 20-point lead and he is only up by 9 points, what does that tell you?
Cheers!
Look at it this way — McCain is going on the Letterman Show.
Cheers!
That said, the pollsters simply must be in that Washington/New York mind-set where they believe their own feces. This is simply absurd. Yes, Palin did one stop in W VA on her way to OH and PA, but it was the northwestern part whose TV reaches into Cincy and Pittsburgh. When this is over, either those of us who found this stuff silly will look completely foolish, or we will look like geniuses. Might want to flag this for future reference, one way or another :)
ARG polls tend to be erratic, to put it nicely. I don’t say this very often about polls, but unless we start seeing similar results from better pollsters, it’s safe to disregard this one.
It’s more like Acorn closing in on McCain in W.Va
Read have pathetic and wrong this ARG polls are and all the state pollsters are too.
http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/10/09/state-poll-accuracy.php
We need to BAN polling 30 days from an Election just like the rest of the WORLD does.
These polls are meant to sway people and cause a herd impact and they are useless otherwise.
This isn't totally out of whack. In 2004, the breakdown by party was D50, R32, and I18. But only 69% of Ds voted for Kerry, 94% of Rs voted for Bush, 56% of Is voted for Bush, and Bush carried West Virginia by 13 points.
Once in the voting booth, though, the intimidation stops. People are free to speak their OWN mind about political issues, and they will. People don't like being forced into silence by some crazed left wing commie cult.
I live in West Virginia and have heard from multiple die hard Democrats that most certainly never voted for Bush that will never vote for Obama, so if somehow Obama wins WV then he is going to pull a Reagan over Mondale type landslide.
ROFL.
I think the biggest losers in this election will be the pollsters and the media who rely on them.
“I don’t believe this poll at all but air time is so cheap in West Virginia that I think it wouldn’t hurt to air some ads to make certain people show up to vote on election day.”
Sarah is there in person today. That said, most in WV don’t have TVs I don’t think!
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