What’s to say that the Bradley Effect didn’t affect this poll?
No kidding. If the idea that the Bradley effect is real (and in some parties it is more real than others — I’m looking at you Dems) then you cannot BY DEFINITION poll to determine it.
My God are these people dense?
Maybe we can find out somewhat from the polls in the primaries. Anyone have that data?
Of course to correlate the difference between a Bradley / Obama discomfort effect vs. general polling accuracy we’d have to compare them to how close the polls were to reality on the Republican side of the race as well. There are just too many variables to still isolate the Bradley effect accurately but it’d be a good start.
The big problem isn’t the Bradley effect. It is the Zogby effect of oversampling Democrat voters. When the sample of voters is not a scientific reflection on society, the votes CANNOT materialize (except from behavior influenced by the repeated lie of “what” the figures are).