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Outspent in Wisconsin, McCain Faces Obstacles
JSOnline ^ | October 4, 2008 | Craig Gilbert

Posted on 10/05/2008 6:11:32 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin

Democrat Barack Obama has been sharply outspending Republican John McCain on TV ads in Wisconsin and other key presidential battlegrounds in recent weeks.

That edge in firepower is one more obstacle for McCain to overcome as he seeks to bounce back in the contest's final month.

Between Sept. 16 and 29, Obama outspent McCain on TV in Wisconsin by almost 2-to-1, according to figures provided by a northern Virginia firm that monitors political advertising, TNS Media Intelligence/CMAG.

Obama spent $1,254,281 on local broadcast stations in the state.

McCain spent $657,923.

Obama has enjoyed a similar edge in other battlegrounds, after ramping up his TV spending by roughly 20% a week for the last several weeks, said Evan Tracey, of the ad-tracking firm that provided the data.

"I think McCain is going to have to make some choices" about which states he can best compete with Obama in, Tracey said.

The McCain campaign made one such choice Thursday when it gave up on the big, expensive battleground of Michigan, where it had spent heavily. Campaign aides said the resources would be shifted to two other contested states, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and a new target, Maine.

The recent spending disparity between the two candidates might say more about Obama's massive resources than about McCain's lack of resources. The Republican National Committee, which is sharing McCain's ad costs as well as funding a separate and independent GOP ad campaign, raised a record $66 million in September. McCain accepted public financing for the fall, so his own campaign spending is capped. Obama rejected public financing in order to spend more.

McCain strategists said they would have enough money to be competitive during the final weeks. But beyond that, the campaign declined comment Friday on its ad strategy.

With recent state and national polls almost all breaking toward Obama, McCain faces tougher decisions about the map, including how much money to spend playing defense (holding on to red states won by President Bush in 2004) and how much to spend playing offense (contesting blue states won by Democrat John Kerry in '04).

Michigan, where McCain spent heavily, was about playing offense. It was one of five blue states McCain had targeted; the others are Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota and New Hampshire. Maine, which divides its electoral votes, would be another one. McCain is expected to target one of the state's two congressional districts worth two electoral votes each.

Winning a major blue state is critical for McCain because it provides a cushion against losses in the red states. Obama is competing in 10 red states at the moment: Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Indiana, Missouri and North Carolina. In most of those, he is either leading or in a virtual dead heat in the polls.

In pulling out of Michigan, McCain aides calculated that its Democratic history and its economic woes were putting it out of reach. In a ranking of 14 battlegrounds maintained by Pollster.com, Michigan is where McCain faced his biggest deficit, based on recent trends combining all the available public polling. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Minnesota were next on the list of toughest battlegrounds for McCain.

McCain aides have pointed to Obama's spending advantage as one factor in his polling gains, though those gains have also coincided with the financial crisis.

A closer look at the ad spending in Wisconsin for the second half of September shows that Obama spent his money airing 11 different spots; McCain aired four.

Of McCain's ads, one promoted himself and running mate Sarah Palin as "mavericks," while the other three went after Obama on taxes, spending and the financial crisis. All told, a little more than 80% of McCain's advertising included attacks on Obama.

Obama has six ads that accounted for most of his spending in Wisconsin in this period. Of those, three were hard-hitting ads aimed at McCain on energy, jobs, corporate tax breaks and ties to lobbyists. The other three, including an unusual two-minute ad, promoted Obama's message on the economy.

Roughly half of the Obama ads in Wisconsin in the last two weeks of September included attacks on McCain.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: mccain; obama; swingstates; wi2008
WHAT 'spending advantage?' I call BS because ALL I see on local stations during prime time are anti-Obama ads.

And many of us opened our pocketbooks when Sarah came on the scene. Millions raised with hours. Tens of millions raised within weeks.

1 posted on 10/05/2008 6:11:32 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

They are trying to demoralize the base by posting these stories.


2 posted on 10/05/2008 6:16:10 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

He outspent Hillary in ads 4 to 1 in PA, ohio and Texas and it got him absolutely nowhere, keep burnig your money Obama.


3 posted on 10/05/2008 6:17:09 PM PDT by sunmars
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To: All

BHO have to outspend McCain 2 to 1 to hang on to Wisconsin. They have not went Repub since they voted for Dukakis.

If it is that close there then VA, NC, Fla are still RED


4 posted on 10/05/2008 6:20:07 PM PDT by Bailee
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To: Bailee

Posted by another Freeper:

Devastating Video, Obama talks about job Ayers gave him

http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=D-45A6I-N5I


5 posted on 10/05/2008 6:21:32 PM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Ok but 1 Ayers or Wright ad is worth 100 0boma ads.


6 posted on 10/05/2008 6:21:40 PM PDT by Bobalu (Obama cannot win without the kind of people that Palin appeals to.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
Obstacles? Just send in Sarah, the dem/lbb wrecking machine and she'll clear the path and pack 'em in.





SARAH PALIN SPOTTED "HIDING" FROM THE PRESS IN VA, CA, & NV



I'M VOTING FOR SARAH...AND SO ARE A WHOLE LOT OF OTHER PEOPLE

7 posted on 10/05/2008 6:26:36 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Jeff Head; Jim Robinson
I love those photos. Thank God for Free Republic and other alternative media sites. I swear, if I only listened to the MSM I'd be ready to hang myself.

We. Are. Going. To. Win. :)

8 posted on 10/05/2008 6:30:29 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (Save The Earth. It's The Only Planet With Chocolate.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
There's a simple reason why O can outspend M:

Secret, Foreign Money Floods Into Obama Campaign

September 29, 2008
Kenneth R. Timmerman http://www.newsmax.com/timmerman/Obama_fundraising_illegal/2008/09/29/135718.html

More than half of the whopping $426.9 million Barack Obama has raised has come from small donors whose names the Obama campaign won't disclose.

And questions have arisen about millions more in foreign donations the Obama campaign has received that apparently have not been vetted as legitimate.

Obama has raised nearly twice that of John McCain's campaign, according to new campaign finance report.

But because of Obama’s high expenses during the hotly contested Democratic primary season and an early decision to forgo public campaign money and the spending limits it imposes, all that cash has not translated into a financial advantage — at least, not yet.

The Obama campaign and the Democratic National Committee began September with $95 million in cash, according to reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

The McCain camp and the Republican National Committee had $94 million, because of an influx of $84 million in public money.

But Obama easily could outpace McCain by $50 million to $100 million or more in new donations before Election Day, thanks to a legion of small contributors whose names and addresses have been kept secret. Unlike the McCain campaign, which has made its complete donor database available online, the Obama campaign has not identified donors for nearly half the amount he has raised, according to the Center for Responsive Politics (CRP).

In a letter dated June 25, 2008, the FEC asked the Obama campaign to verify a series of $25 donations from a contributor identified as “Will, Good” from Austin, Texas. Mr. Good Will listed his employer as “Loving” and his profession as “You.”

A Newsmax analysis of the 1.4 million individual contributions in the latest master file for the Obama campaign discovered

Obama is as crooked a Chicago politician as ever existed, and the FEC refuses to investigate his obvious crimes. Our entire electoral system is under attack by this slimeball.

9 posted on 10/05/2008 6:33:12 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
Diana how much spending on McCains part would it take to overcome the voter fraud we have in this state? This state has become so dirty under the dem leadership I don't think Ronald Reagan could win here. They have boxes of votes to drag out if they need them to win.
10 posted on 10/05/2008 6:37:19 PM PDT by mimaw
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

So basically they are counting on a late campaign surge to carry them over the top. Not sure if that’s the best in a campaign in which there is so much early voting.


11 posted on 10/05/2008 6:42:47 PM PDT by Harry Wurzbach (Rep. Thaddeus McCotter is my hero.)
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To: mimaw

That is a problem, isn’t it? We lost to Kerry in 2004 by 11,841 votes.

Hopefully, this time enough Republicans will come out to vote so that cheating doesn’t matter so much.

They can’t WIN by cheating unless we’re apathetic. And I think everyone and their brother on OUR side will be out in force this time around...there’s too much at stake...and people really love Sarah Palin.


12 posted on 10/05/2008 7:15:42 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (Save The Earth. It's The Only Planet With Chocolate.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Jay Weber said last week on his show that on his own station WISN Obama is blowing McCain away in advertisement, this is a blue state no matter what, we will not win because of voter fraud and most of all any state this is non Confederate is or becoming a Commie stronghold whether we like it or not!


13 posted on 10/05/2008 7:41:25 PM PDT by BrianE (Vote Conservative.)
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To: Harry Wurzbach

The Dimwits strategy exactly, remember 04 when baby Bush was ahead by 10,000 votes just before closing then lost by a little over 10,000.


14 posted on 10/05/2008 7:46:22 PM PDT by BrianE (Vote Conservative.)
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To: BrianE

I don’t care if we win Wisconsin, though it would be nice. I just want a majority of EC votes, Baby. :)


15 posted on 10/06/2008 5:57:53 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (Save The Earth. It's The Only Planet With Chocolate.)
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