Posted on 10/04/2008 10:51:19 AM PDT by Chet 99
Election 2008: Maine Presidential Election Little Change in Maine, Obama by Five Saturday, October 04, 2008 Email a Friend Email to a Friend
While Barack Obama has lengthened his lead over John McCain in many states over the past few weeks, little has changed in Maine.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Maine votersconducted October 2--finds Obama with 51% of the vote and McCain with 46%. Thats virtually identical to the results from mid-September when Obama up by four.
Both men are viewed favorably by 55% of voters.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).
With the economy as the top issue of Election 2008, just 10% of voters in Maine rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent while 60% say its in poor shape. Just 4% say economic conditions are getting better while 83% say things are getting worse.
Voters in Maine are evenly divided as to whether they trust McCain or Obama more when it comes to the economy. McCain is trusted more on national security issues.
Obama leads by sixteen points among women but trails by eight among men. The candidates are even among investors while Obama has a fourteen point advantage among those who do not invest in stocks, bonds, or mutual funds (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members).
Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a 93.2 % chance of winning Maines four Electoral College votes this fall. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join, so add your voice to the collective wisdom.
Just 26% say that George W. Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Fifty-eight percent (58%) say he is doing a poor job.
Maine has cast its four Electoral College votes for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential elections. In 2004, John Kerry won the state over George W. Bush by nine percentage points. At the time the poll was released, the state was classified as Likely Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.
Kerry won Maine by 9. Interesting.
The fact that Obama is not even higher in these polls with their heavily biased Democrat numbers is something quite interesting.
An interesting observation from my daily commute on the 405 here in SoCal. In 2004, my coworker and I who commute together noted the LARGE numbers of Kerry/Edwards stickers on the freeway. I mean, I’d see lots of them — seemed like every 20th car had a sticker on it.
I see maybe 3 cars in my daily commute with Obama stickers.
On the flip side, I saw a fair number of W stickers — maybe 5 or so on my way to work. I see maybe 1-2 McCain stickers on my daily commute.
It’s an interesting election. Enthusiasm for both candidates seems lower here in SoCal than it did during 2004.
In fact, I see maybe a car a day with Kerry-Edwards stickers still on them, but without the Obama sticker. My coworker’s neighbor is one such person. He doesn’t talk to them much, otherwise I’d be very interested to find out what their thoughts are about Obama. They just may be more reluctant to express rabid support for him. Not sure. The “Selected Not Elected” sticker is still on his car as well. Maybe these people just had rampant BDS, and were really showing how much they hated Bush. That may account for it. If so, that proves that Obama’s mantra of “McCain is Bush 3” is not working.
Voters in Maine are evenly divided as to whether they trust McCain or Obama more when it comes to the economy. McCain is trusted more on national security issues.
Obama and his criminals in congress are one of the reasons why we are in a financial crisis. What the hell are they smoking up there or for that matter anywhere in America. I am beside myself!
The northeast is a lost cause their brains are fried so use to liberals stealing their money they accept it.
I don’t understand how Rasmussen can have Obama leading by six points nationally, but only five points in Maine (a state that Kerry won by 9 points despite losing nationally by 2.4%).
Interestingly, the exit poll data in 2004 indicates Bush ran neck and neck with Kerry among affiliated voters (Rs and Ds voted in approximately equal numbers and percentages for their candidates), but the Independents voted 60-40 for Kerry. Until now, I would have thought that Kerry won because he was a “favorite son” of sorts. In 2000, Nader won 6% of the vote in Maine, a state where Gore won by 5 points.
Some weird stuff going on this cycle. Indiana is supposedly close.
Election patterns do change - California used to be a solid Republican state.
there's a war abrewing..I think......not a loud one...
it will split families...
it will probably mean subversive actions....
it won't be pretty..
Its a WHITE state... or whiter, that may explain why it is closer than last election. 3 - 4 points in not hard to overcome. Just get it down to that in the next two weeks and anything can happen. I still believe we will see some strange swings in states this time around.... could go either way.
Yeah... No surprise...What did he say this Summer...that he facored gas rationing...?
This guy couldn’t negotiate an enema in a nursing home...
I’m embarrassed that he’s a republican...
But let’s face it...If Obama and Co. hoodwinks the public and gets elected..
Then I say, let’s restructure the democratic party...and get rid of the Warner’s and SPectors...and the rest who have played by the rules...while their opponents screwed them over...
We have alot of young good conservative repubs...Pawlenty, Kndal...Crist...Cotner...maybe even Palin...although I know she will fade into the sunset if she loses...as her love is her family and Alaska....
I’m done watching the day to day polls....I’m done reading the pundits....I’ve been long done listening to anyone sane on the democratic side... Alan Colmes is so deep into the talkng points of the democrats each night, that you can’t get a single solitary objective answer out of him...
He’s like a psychotic patient who repeats his social security number over and over again...as you put him into a straight jacket...
I had a bounce in my step when Palin was nominated...a bigger one...the night of her inaugeration speech.... and then again during the debates...
If any of you feel the same way I do...then let’s give this campaign 10% of our time and effort to help our side win..
nikos
In 2004, Women outvoted men and Kerry won the women vote 57-42. I think it would be worth it for Gov Palin to visit Maine.
In Maine in 2004, the breakdown
Dems 31 (86 went for Kerry)
GOP 30 (85 went for Bush)
Ind 38 (56 went for Kerry)
Maybe. But I think that right now, it is more important for her to visit places like Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. And close red states such as Nevada, Colorado, Florida, and Virginia. If McCain improves his poll standing in the next week, then let's revisit this question.
I would like Mitt to get off his ass and go campaign for McCain in Michigan and Nevada.
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