Posted on 10/01/2008 4:46:01 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
In an election for President of the United States held in Indiana today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 48% to 45%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, McCain is down 2 points; Obama is up 1.
Among men, McCain leads by 9; among women, Obama leads by 2 an 11-point gender gap. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain and Obama tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 8. Among those who are in-between the two candidates ages, McCain leads by 4. Among white voters, McCain leads by 9 points. Among blacks, Obama leads by 65. 85% of Republicans vote for McCain; 82% of Democrats vote for Obama; Independents are tied.
Obama has gained ground over the past six weeks in the Indianapolis and Central Indiana areas; McCain has gained ground in Southern Indiana. In Northern Indiana, where voters see Chicago television from Obamas home state of Illinois, Obama led by 17 points fourteen weeks ago and by 5 points six weeks ago; today, Obama leads there by 1.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
Indiana is a red state. The poll is junk.
This is looking dire. I hope that Sarah Palin can come through tommorrow.
I have a lot of troubling believing this, but just how many *new* voters has ACORN registered in Gary, Indiana recently?
If Obama leads by 65% among blacks, then McCain has 17.5% support among blacks. Can that be right?
ACORN and college commissars
No, it's really not looking dire. Not by any realistic assessment.
SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of them, 802 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 687 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Indiana has 11 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. Polling conducted during an unprecedented time of economic and political turbulence.
It doesn't say for certain if it's a poll of "adults", "registered voters" or "likely voters". The fact that Bush won by 21 points in 2004 tells me Obama is going to lose Indiana by a lot more than the 3 point spread in this poll.
The same poll has Daniels leading Thompson 53% - 37% in the Governor’s race.
Obama loses a little in every state, but makes it up on volume.
I live in Indiana. Our airwaves are full of Obama and McCain seems hardly present (taking us for granted?). It is to the point where my 10 year old daughter asked me if Obama was president now.
So either THOSE numbers are wrong, or the polls showing these big Obama leads are wrong. They can't both be right. But now, it sure seems like McCain is finished, and I mean, bloodbath finished.
Revolution’s comin’...
If Obama leads by 65% among blacks, then McCain has 17.5% support among blacks. Can that be right?
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I think it may easily be right. The few comments I have heard black people make concerning Obama have been all negative, none positive. I contrast this to when Kerry was running and any comments I heard from them were all positive for Kerry and or negative for Bush.
Indiana has been close the entire election. Obama has strength because of his proximity. Don’t fret. We are on our way to victory. Don’t let one poll throw you off.
indiana is not close
norman- i am not one to take polls lightly but this one is funky
in 2004 partisan id at ballot booth in indiana was 48 republican and 32 democrat and 20 independent
this poll shows partisan id at 38 republican and 37 democrat
partisan id never fluctuates like that
look at the mitch daniels those are likely john mccains numbers
there is something weird going on
nobody can account for these incredible fluctuations
partisan id changed from even nationally in 2004 to dems +3 in 2006.
These indiana numbers are garbage.
Richard is on to something here. Is this what the Bradley effect looks like through the mirror??
BTW what are the negative comments
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Well, let’s see, my memory ain’t what it used to be but I’ll try.
1. A rather impressive man age forty who works a full time job as a warehouseman and runs a lanscaping business on the side said, “He is stupid, I have watched him and he can’t do all that stuff he says he will do, he is stupid.”
2. A laborer of about fifty years said,”Who is this guy with the funny name, nobody knows anything about him, are we supposed to vote for this guy that nobody ever heard of?”
3. A man in his late thirties who says he works as a bounty hunter and as a bouncer said,”Obama is shaky”. This same man said that Hillary Clinton is “blacker than Obama”, he considers Obama a jive turkey pretending to be a black man.
It seems as though there were one or two more but I can’t recall them now, there have been no positive comments. You may already know that there is a black preacher named James David Manning who has posted numerous videos on youtube denouncing Obama in terrible ways and daring the Anointed One to respond to him. He has called Obama a pimp, a homo, a drug user, white trash etc., called his mother trash, he keeps trying to force a response but he says Obama won’t even defend his own mother. Manning has even come out to support Larry Sinclair and asked people to pray for Sinclair in his efforts to expose Obama.
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