Hurricane Kyle prompts storm warning for Maine

National Hurricane Center ^ | September 27, 2008 | FORECASTER BROWN

[HAL9000]

HURRICANE KYLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
1100 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008

KYLE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A VERY ASYMMETRIC CLOUD PATTERN FOR A HURRICANE. THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS FROM BOTH AGENCIES DECREASED A LITTLE...HOWEVER...THE CONVECTION HAS EXPANDED AND THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED DURING THE PAST COUPLE HOURS...AND KYLE REMAINS A 65-KT HURRICANE. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE SAMPLING THE STORM AROUND 0600 UTC.

SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE VERY STRONG...BUT DIVERGENT FLOW OVER THE HURRICANE. IT APPEARS THAT THE SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THE CYCLONE WILL INCREASE DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AND KYLE WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS DURING THIS TIME. THEREFORE...THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST DOES NOT CALL FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. KYLE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER MUCH COLDER SSTS NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM WITHIN 24 HOURS...SO THE NEW FORECAST NOW SHOWS SOME WEAKENING PRIOR TO KYLE REACHING THE COAST. THIS FOLLOWS THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE WHICH MAINTAINS KYLE AS A HURRICANE FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS...THEN SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. HOWEVER...ONE SHOULD REMEMBER THAT THERE IS LITTLE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A 60 KT TROPICAL STORM AND A 65 KT HURRICANE. KYLE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL SOON AFTER REACHING SOUTHEASTERN CANADA.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 005/20 KT. THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING AND THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TURN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS ONCE AGAIN SHIFTED A LITTLE EASTWARD. THE NEW NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGE A LITTLE EASTWARD...BUT IT REMAINS ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND WEST OF THE CONSENSUS. IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT SPREAD AS KYLE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE TRACK FORECAST SHOWS DECELERATION DURING THAT TIME...BUT IT IS EXPECTED THAT KYLE WILL BE ABSORBED BY THE FRONT SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

[mylife]

Batten down the hatches!

[al baby]

To bad those wind turbines aint out in Kennedy bay we could be making some heavy energy bright about now

[SevenofNine]

Did Karl Rove leave his weather machine on AGAINNNNN

Bad Karl Bad

[nobamanada]

It’s Palin’s fault!

[MEpajamaMONSTER]

THE SCREAMER LIVES!!!

[metmom]

ping

[SevenofNine]

Now that funny LOLOLOLOL!

[al baby]

Good Evening Mistress SevenofNine

[FlyVet]

Wow. A hurricane that far north?

Pray Bay of Fundy at low tide.

The Maine shore is an amazing place.

[SevenofNine]

Hey Al Baby yeah if you just join us we blaming the hurricane on

Usual suspect Karl Rove, Sarah Palin, Dick Cheney, Godzilla on vacation

Take your pick

[al baby]

I blame it on Reagan

[SevenofNine]

Now that cold Al Baby LOLOLOL!

I like it LOL!

[al baby]

The econmy has gotten so bad I had to give up on my mistresss

[al baby]

I saw two dogs walk over to a parking meter. One said to the other, “How
do you like that? Pay toilets.”

[maineman]

Ugh! No golf on Sunday.

[SevenofNine]

Which Mistress is this?

The long time mistress or one that you share with Osmara Barek LOL!

[freekitty]

I am praying for them having just gone through Ike; it’s no picnic.

[al baby]

The one i shared with Osmara Barek never went back to him once you go albaby you never go black

[SevenofNine]

Yeah baby

That true once you hang out with Freeper you never go back LOLOLOOL!