For the record...I still expect McCain to win 40 -45 states.
and I LOVE you for that my friend...
A poll out yesterday has Mac ahead in Co. If we hold that one, we win.
“For the record...I still expect McCain to win 40 -45 states”
Sigh... in our dreams.
I’m a stone-cold realist, about politics as well as other things.
This election is going to be as close as it gets, probably a repeat of 2000.
McCain’s only chance may be eke out a victory in the electoral college, where [of course] things matter. He’s probably going to lose the popular vote. At best he may break 50%, but I don’t see him getting much more.
With the racial factor tossed into the mix, it may be more ugly than in 2000, with not one, but possibly two or three states’ results “contested”.
Regarding the debates, it’s Kennedy vs. Nixon all over again. Style, looks, and delivery vs. substance. And bear in mind that the electoral populace in 1960 was probably better-informed than a large proportion of the voters (particularly the liberal and “waving wheat” undecideds) are _today_, what with the deterioration of the educational system over the last 50 years.
One other thing I’d like to point out. If McCain wins, it will not be because he rallied conservatives, but because he was perceived as “middle of the road” by enough independents and racially-minded democrats to steal those votes from the other side. I daresay that if our candidate had been a “hard-righter”, he wouldn’t have been able to take enough votes from the middle to have won.
I hope I’m proven dead wrong on this. Nothing to do but wait and see.
- John