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Washington Post-ABC News Poll [Details about Obama +9 "Poll"]
washington compost ^ | 9/24/08

Posted on 09/24/2008 4:45:09 AM PDT by mathprof

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 19-22, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,082 adults, 916 registered voters and 780 likely voters. The survey includes additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans, for a total of 163 black respondents. The added interviews (commonly referred to as an "oversample") were completed to ensure there were enough African American respondents for separate analysis; the group was not over-represented in the reported results from the full sample. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Error margins are higher for subgroups. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; fakebutaccurate; mccainpalin; msm
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This is what's behind the "Poll" showing the Messiah with a 9 point lead. It sounds fishy to me.
1 posted on 09/24/2008 4:45:09 AM PDT by mathprof
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To: mathprof

2 posted on 09/24/2008 4:49:55 AM PDT by drzz (I)
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To: mathprof

It also was “embargoed” for release AFTER 9/24....the poll was done last week & completed by the 22nd......????? Sounds like the Mason Dixon Florida poll that was on the shelf for 4 or 5 days before it was released....


3 posted on 09/24/2008 4:50:42 AM PDT by bioprof (STRATEGERY!)
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To: mathprof

Polls - how could this one be so different from the others?


4 posted on 09/24/2008 4:52:14 AM PDT by tirednvirginia
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To: bioprof

I think they conducted this poll like the dems do recounts. They just tried over and over again until they got the desired result.


5 posted on 09/24/2008 4:52:56 AM PDT by mathprof
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To: mathprof
The poll skewed/oversampled Dems 10%.

It is a bogus poll result to help Obama. Clear sign the media knows he is in serious trouble.

6 posted on 09/24/2008 4:53:27 AM PDT by MaestroLC ("Let him who wants peace prepare for war."--Vegetius, A.D. Fourth Century)
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To: mathprof

Rush has always said that weekend polling is unreliable.


7 posted on 09/24/2008 4:53:46 AM PDT by SuperSonic (Bush "lied", people dyed.......their fingers purple.)
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To: SuperSonic

Forget what Rush says, look at the internals. They over sampled Dems by 10% and over sampled blacks.


8 posted on 09/24/2008 4:55:50 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: mathprof

It should sound fishy I saw the internals....they polled 38 % Dems to 28 % Rep.


9 posted on 09/24/2008 4:58:35 AM PDT by Dog (We have entered into the realm of 9/10 all over again...Lord help us.)
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To: drzz
Ignore the polls! They are nothing more than a vehicle for the MSM to push a line. This week, the line is "Palin bounce is over" and "the economy is hurting McCain."

Unfortunately, that means that there is going to be no real info until the election, but we shouldn't be taking any comfort from any polls that show us up, as they are nothing more than a medium to spread the meme after ("Obama closing lead!").

Play like you are three points down in the 4th.

10 posted on 09/24/2008 5:00:10 AM PDT by ajwharton (FL GOP Pollwatcher, ACORN-buster)
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To: snarkytart

Don’t be too concerned. We will be seeing a bunch of these opinion influencing polls prior to the election. This Democrat plan of attack has been used over and over.


11 posted on 09/24/2008 5:00:22 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Dog
To all MSM Lurkers

WE HAVE SEEN THIS TEMPLATE BEFORE...NEXT TIME SAMPLE IT EVENLY.

12 posted on 09/24/2008 5:01:34 AM PDT by Dog (We have entered into the realm of 9/10 all over again...Lord help us.)
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To: mathprof
If their poll was done correctly to start with they wouldn't have had to weigh in an additional 15% black respondents and oversampling Rats.
13 posted on 09/24/2008 5:02:42 AM PDT by tobyhill (fraud -noun;(1)deceit, trickery, sharp practice, or breach of confidence, (2) Obama)
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To: tobyhill

Toby this tells us Obama is in serious trouble when they have to fudge a poll this badly to get him a “lead” going into the debate.


14 posted on 09/24/2008 5:06:36 AM PDT by Dog (We have entered into the realm of 9/10 all over again...Lord help us.)
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To: mathprof

Always run as though you are 5 points behind. It is good for the motivation.

I don’t know if that poll is accurate or not. Unfortunately the voters tend to blame Republicans whenever the economy shimmies and shakes, so I would not be surprised if they are ahead by some degree.

Do we ignore it, laugh it off? Or do we ask ourselves what we can do to help? I am going to give a contribution to the RNC today. (If anyone knows of a better group to give it to, let me know.)

I think we all need to redouble our efforts, whatever they may be, to elect McCain/Palin and keep oh-bammy out of the White House.

Whenever I think of an Obamanation win I have premonitions of disaster rolling like thunder across our land.


15 posted on 09/24/2008 5:09:14 AM PDT by bitterdfwrepub
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To: Dog

Just remember the exit polling data from 2004 telling us John Kerry would win. Polls are always jive! Always!


16 posted on 09/24/2008 5:09:36 AM PDT by King Hawk
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To: mathprof
You have 38% Democrats and 28% Republicans? That's an extremely oversampled poll. In real world elections, the gap has never been more than 4%. Here it is 10%! That's how you know its a jedi mind trick. Every other poll shows Obama LOSING support! So how can he be ahead by double digits as here? Not unless you play games with the party weighing ratios. This is completely worthless, even as "news" this morning!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 09/24/2008 5:11:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: mathprof

this is about PUSH VOTING,

early voting has started, they need to push the polling booth with biased fraud polling.

This is Dan Rather Journalism.


18 posted on 09/24/2008 5:11:22 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: mathprof

If they shout the big lie loud and long enough, (Obama’s win is inevitable), people become discouraged, and lukewarm republicans might not vote. Meanwhile, they plan to bus the dead and never existed to the polls on Nov. 4.


19 posted on 09/24/2008 5:11:44 AM PDT by hershey
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To: Dog
I'm surprised they admitted they sought out 15% additional black respondents which in itself admits McCain is up 5% minimum.
20 posted on 09/24/2008 5:11:49 AM PDT by tobyhill (fraud -noun;(1)deceit, trickery, sharp practice, or breach of confidence, (2) Obama)
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