I would think than MN would be easier than Wisconisn.
We’re being lured with this crap about MN being close, like it was supposed to be in 2004, so we devote resources to it and still lose. There are too many other must-wins to waste too many resources in MN.
Minnesota has been trended Republican for several years now, so I think we have a great shot at Minnesota (Al Franken should be worth 2 points for McCain at the minimum).
Southeast Wisconsin is in the Chicago media market and is traditionally very liberal (i.e. Madison). Wisconsin would be a very hard flip. If McCain takes Wisconsin, he will take Minnesota, Michigan, and possibly Pennsylvania.
Minnesota and Michigan are the best bets for flips in the upper midwest. Either one solidifies McCain’s election.