Posted on 09/12/2008 7:47:36 PM PDT by 11th_VA
Barack Obama knows it. The election he had in the bag is slipping away.
The selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as John McCain’s running mate has so thrown him off stride, as it has most other Democrats, that all the momentum he had has vanished. He’s getting panicky advice from everywhere. He intends to launch more and sharper attacks, abandoning any pretense of a new and different, more civil campaign.
Democrats know something, and desperation is setting in. They have a novice campaigner who wanders off message. With every advantage in the primaries, Obama couldn’t win the big states — New York, New Jersey, Ohio and Pennsylvania — against Hillary Clinton, even when he got to define the rules for running against him. She could never risk alienating the base she’ll need in 2012; John McCain and Sarah Palin have no such constraints — hence the panic.
For a “change” candidate, Obama appears to be a man locked in time, unable to move past criticism, unable to move from the grip of the Democratic left, unable to adapt to the changed reality that the campaign is not the referendum on the war in Iraq or on the administration of George W. Bush that he’d envisioned.
He’s begun to sound dated. Last week, for example, he devoted valuable campaign days — less than two months remain — into explaining a silly “lipstick on a pig” line. The McCain campaign had reacted, accusing him of making the reference to Palin. “I don’t care what they say about me,” Obama responded. “But I love this country too much to let them take over another election with lies and phony outrage and ‘Swiftboat politics.’ Enough is enough,” he said. (The Swiftboat reference is from the 2004 campaign of John Kerry).
The Democratic left is still seething from the Kerry campaign’s loss and is determined to see Bush expelled from the White House in disgrace — the reason it is locked in to making this a referendum on the administration now ending.
It barely worked when the maverick McCain, no darling of the Bushites, got the nomination. With Palin, the Washington outsider, the “third term” argument is plainly absurd. But Obama can’t let go, just as the lefties can’t let go of the Swiftboat Veterans for Truth defeat of Kerry. He can’t move on.
Obama has the habit, too, of reminding voters of their doubts about him, as he did in reminding a Detroit audience that he’s been accused of being less interested in protecting you from terrorists than reading them their rights. And, when he professes love of country as his basis for refusing to allow the McCain campaign to attack his words, he raises questions about why he finds the affirmation of love necessary.
Obama will lose because with less than two months remaining voters won’t be able to get comfortable with him. He can’t stay on message and he can’t avoid sending signals that interfere with the message when he does.
McCain, on the other hand, has been superb going back at least to Obama’s European tour. Mainstream America is comfortable with him and, with Palin’s selection, conservatives who had their doubts are onboard. The GOP is energized and suddenly an unwinnable election is reversed.
Obama got this far by winning small states and Southern states he has no chance of carrying in November. In Georgia, for example, the latest Insider Advantage poll has McCain pulling 56 percent of the vote to 38 percent for Obama, numbers that are not likely to change more than 4 percentage points in November. The undecideds and those who intend to vote for third-party campaigns are at 6 percent.
In this election, voters will decide early. Obama’s been in a yearlong campaign; McCain’s familiar. The two are sufficiently exposed and known for voters to make a decision now.
It’s not over. But it’s getting there — and Obama knows it.
bttt
Yeah, bet on it on intrade and then tell us where the ‘smart money’ is. (lost) After all, they went with McGovern, Mondale, and Dukakis
***Intrade was around during those 3 prior elections? That’s news to me.
It's entirely possible that Romo would agree to do it if our collection got big enough.
“And then there will be riots...”
I hope so. Let’s get it over once and for all. If we don’t, these liberal pieces of trash will get us all killed.
I also thought it quite strange that Michelle did not accompany Obambi to the Ground Zero ceremony on 9/11.
Cindy was there and it just seemed like one of those occasions where Michelle should have been there, too. If nothing else, it would have been the chance for ma Belle to demonstrate how much she “loves” her country.
I wonder, sometimes, if the Obambas might have had a falling out since the convention. It’s widely rumored that Michelle was the one insisting that Hildy be kept off the ticket. Since, rightly or wrongly, history will state that was the reason for Obambi’s political demise, one wonders if that decision also caused a controversy at home.
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, is this the paper Rush usually refers to by calling it the Atlanta-Journal Constipation because of its embarrassing over-the-top liberal bias?
Of course, on the other hand, they're so inept that it's entirely possible they didn't really consider the fallout from it. Someone ought to check and see if her kids really did start the new school year on a Thursday when she declined to be at the memorial in NYC.
“At EVERY opportunity, his obsession with Sarah has made him appear, petty, jealous, and feeble.”
I agree. I also think that the reason Michelle is not in public view as much as she once was, is because they are deathly afraid that her anger will make her say something that they won’t be able to repair.
I think you’re wrong. I hope you’re wrong.
There are certain communities that actually are not all that interested in politics. That’s why “walking around money” is so important to the Rats. If they pay someone $20 to vote, yeah, maybe they will. But it’s not like they’ve been following the election with bated breath and feel invested in the outcome.
Well, I guess I wouldn't want to see it either, but keep in mind; liberals do tend to foul their own nests.
Gas prices will go higher because of Ike. And what’s the solution to that?
Offshore drilling not concentrated in the Gulf of Mexico and drilling in ANWR.
That’s where McCain can score.
bbbwwwwwaaaahhhhh!!!!
sounds good...the magic mulatto would become the mangled mulatto!
Any chance you can turn that into a slide show/vid with music and post it on YouTube?
Yes, it is that funny.
Same rag..
When is someone going to do a YouTube of that song “Burn, Baby, Burn” as “Drill, Baby, Drill”?
Kerry was consistently in the lead until September, then Bush was in the lead.
The clich that "most people don't pay attention til after Labor Day" seems to be true. I'm thinking the debates will be most persuasive because that's when most voters will see Obama unscripted for an extended period. Those ums and ahs and his defensiveness when he doesn't like what's being said could be the equivalent of Gore's sighs.
Boo!
Why don’t you put it in your tagline? ;)
Yep.
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