Posted on 09/08/2008 3:22:53 PM PDT by Norman Bates
I would say overall these polls are good news. I really don’t think we are tied in FL. There is a 4.5% margin of error at work.
The trend is our friend.
Also, isn’t 500 a small sample?
IDK.
This is really wierd.
Zogby/CBS is showing better than average numbers for McCain.
Rasmussen is showing better than average numbers for Obama.
Gallup also showing better numbers for McCain than Rasmussen.
I think I know why the numbers aren’t better for McCain. According to the Rasmussen site these polls were done on Sunday. Now, a lot of Catholics and evangelicals are at church on Sunday, as well as football games, family time, etc. Just the day of the week removes a lot of conservatives from the pool of respondents.
Ping!
Hey, ho, way to go, Ohio! :-)
Almost five point margin of error can equal a ten point swing? Strike me as not very useful polls.
Didn’t Gov. Chist of Florida make it to where felons can vote in Florida? The guy is a republican but he’s a clown too.
I think McCain will do well in Florida but you never really know.
I’m in FL I do not know one person who wants Obama.
maybe they are being polled in the south part of the state.
This has to be wrong, McCain had a big lead not long ago and his numbers have gone up everywhere but here, HUH
Lieberman needs to set up camp in the south part of the state where there is a large Jewish population
Get there Joe NOW
I disagree. I expected MUCH better... With the exception of PA, they were all red states in ‘04
nice to see Pennsylvania competitive .. with all the hunters and Catholics there who knows what might shake out.
Those are really really weird results. +7 in Ohio and even in FLA. This is going to be a very strange election—everything is shifting around.
Yes. These were conducted Sep 7. Keep in mind this:
“In Florida, the survey was conducted as Hurricane Ike was approaching.”
FWIW...
Has anyone ran a poll to gauge President Bush’s handling of Hurricane Gustav? I’ll wait while Rasmussen makes the requisite phone calls.
Don’t worry: EVERY Penn. State Nittaly Lion voter is going to go for Obama. Count on it.
And most of those OH Cleveland Stealer fans will vote that way as well.
I do not know anyone here who wants Obama and not many stickers for the elitist man, no yard signs I have seen
plus he had a good lead not long ago ,
so what is going on here
let’s not forget that a great many people have no land lines anymore.....and many, like myself, NEVER answer and let our machine pick up....I wonder how accurate any phone polls can be anymore
Guys lets not forget these polls were taken on the morning of Sept 7th, its does not fully include any bounce McCain may get from a convention.
yes Denver is in colorado so we’d expect the convention to have a bigger impact there.
On the other hand, it’s a western state and they are facing the most pro-western ticket in history.
If you look at the RCP electoral map without toss ups, it seems that McCain needs all of these states except PA to win ... or he will need Michigan.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10
I read that Obama’s campaign director said if McCain loses Colorado there’s less than a 5% chance he will win.
Folks, if you know ANYONE in Colorado please call them and urge them to volunteer.
Conventions and debates mean a lot but one of the most important aspects of the race is one that we can influence, and that’s getting out the vote.
How many people reading this have called their local campaign HQ (especially people in OH, FL, MI, CO, and maybe PA) and offered to assist the GOTV effort? Nothing makes you feel more personally involved in the whole democratic process than simply calling your neighbors and asking them to vote. And doing that in a coordinated manner is the way elections are won.
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