I see Bradley Effect in every post about polls, but lets get honest here, do not depend on it do not even figure it in. The Bradley Effect was over 20 years ago and we live in a new era. Does it still exist? Who knows, but play as if you are down 6 points and you are on the 1 yard line and have 1:50 left to drive 99 yards for the go ahead touchdown.
One thing (at least) seems funny about this poll. They claim to have interviewed about 1000 adults, but to be basing results on about 900 “registered” voters. They never would have found that many registered voters out of a total of 1000 interviews. What am I missing?
The other point is that polling is and has been becoming more and more unreliable for 2 reasons, A) the prohibition against calling cell numbers for polling, and B) the undoubted and growing tendency of people to flat out lie to pollsters.