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Hurricane Ike Live Thread
NOAA/NHC ^ | 7 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/07/2008 8:37:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ike is the fifth tropical cyclone of the 2008 hurricane season to threaten U.S. Gulf Coast states.

Reports from Turks & Caicos Islands describe 80 per cent of homes damaged or destroyed. On Sunday, Hurricane Ike's position just north of Hispanola was hampering relief efforts for devastation incurred by Hurricane Gustav and Tropical Storm Fay. The death toll in Haiti from Gustav reached 200 people.

Florida Governor Charlie Crist held a press conference Sunday morning shortly after a Hurricane Watch was issued for the Florida Keys.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data:

Florida & Eastern Gulf of Mexico

Western Gulf of Mexico

West Caribbean

Forecast Models

South FL Radar Loop
FL Keys Radar Loop
Cuba Radar Warning: site gets overloaded
FL Long Range Radar Image

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site--scroll down for Ike

KeyNews.com Key West News
Miami Herald
NOLA.com
KPLC-tv Lake Charles News
WEAR-tv Pensacola FL
TBO.com Tampa Bay Online
KHOU Houston
WKRG-tv Mobile-Pensacola

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Cuba; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; ike; tropical; weather
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To: NautiNurse

I feel bad for the Keys this year, this has to have hurt them economically since they keep having to get the tourists off the islands. I grew up in a tourist town in NM and it’s a tough thing if you lose part of your season.
susie


321 posted on 09/08/2008 5:56:17 AM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Keep the change!)
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To: NautiNurse
Looks like a northward turn, heading for you know where.

I think what really happened is that NO dodged the bullet for way more years than should be normal. My suspicion is that this is what they should expect from typical tropical weather. They were just lucky for a long time.


322 posted on 09/08/2008 5:56:34 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: metmom
Ooops. Actually, the five day forecast has it straightening out and the computer models show that, but it looks like anybodies guess right now.


323 posted on 09/08/2008 6:01:34 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: blam
"Yup, Frederic...I was living in Houston at the time and took a week's vacation to come to Mobile and help out my mom and dad. "

We lived in Spring during Frederic (north of Houston) and my dad gathered his chainsaw and left the night Frederic hit. He literally chainsawed his way down Nack Ln. to see about my grandmother. My other grandma and my uncle and his family were in Mobile also. The most damage was done to our old cabin in Gulf Shores..it was totally wiped out.

324 posted on 09/08/2008 6:25:06 AM PDT by sweet_diane ("Listening to the Palin speech created an endorphin release in my brain." Uncle Henry)
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To: rodguy911

I’m glad I got to hang out there and fish in the 90’s at places like the Old Wooden Bridge and the main road fishing bridges. A lot of fun.


325 posted on 09/08/2008 6:26:57 AM PDT by kinghorse
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To: metmom
Yeah, absolutely anyone's guess; there's low sheer in the gulf right now, and of course, a lot of warm water to feed a hurricane. Ike, on Cuban radar, looks like it's about to have the center of circulation slip back off the island which should actually weaken the storm more due to the spine of Cuba cutting into a lot of the northeast quad.

Not sure why the models are turning Ike so far east, though, as there's not a lot of evidence right now for it going so far to the right as of yet. If Ike follows the model path and cuts across the island again, I can see the more easterly tracks holding up, but it really looks more like Ike will be heading towards southern Texas at this point, alas, as a major hurricane.

326 posted on 09/08/2008 6:30:17 AM PDT by kingu (Party for rent - conservative opinions not required.)
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To: kingu

After watching Hurricane Elena sit in the Gulf and go in circles for a couple days, anything is possible, but I fear you’re right.

I guess we’ll find out if Galveston’s sea walls do what they’re meant to do.

At least this time there will be plenty of warning.


327 posted on 09/08/2008 7:38:11 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: rodguy911

And you can bet that even if thousands are killed in Cuba in this storm, the government will never admit it.


328 posted on 09/08/2008 7:41:37 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: kingu
I'm not really good yet at figuring out troughs, lows, and highs but I've been watching the 5 day forecasts and each update the cone seems to drop a little more south. Yesterday South TX was included. Today a little bit of Mexico. Most reports seem to indicate LA though.
329 posted on 09/08/2008 7:45:48 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Gov. Crist in news conference on Fox news NOW.


330 posted on 09/08/2008 8:04:30 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (DRILL HERE-DRILL NOW-PAY LESS)
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To: CindyDawg
I'm not really good yet at figuring out troughs, lows, and highs but I've been watching the 5 day forecasts and each update the cone seems to drop a little more south. Yesterday South TX was included. Today a little bit of Mexico. Most reports seem to indicate LA though.

The models keep swinging it into LA, but yeah, the leftward trend has been pretty consistent with Ike - initial projections put it as a re-curve storm that'll go out to sea, then it was the upper parts of Florida, then Miami, then the Keys threading between Cuba and Florida, now it's going up Cuba's spine.

It really surprised me how tight and compact Ike was on radar presentation in Cuba, and how much it's maintained rotation as it has roared across the island - this doesn't seem to be a storm that's looking for any small thing to come along and steer it in another direction - it really looks to me to be a Texas hit (and crossing my fingers that it's a south-Texas border hit.)

331 posted on 09/08/2008 8:06:09 AM PDT by kingu (Party for rent - conservative opinions not required.)
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To: kingu

If it happens we will deal with it like anyone else. This is not a low populated area though. I just find it interesting how the media keeps shifting back to NO.


332 posted on 09/08/2008 8:13:09 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg
I just find it interesting how the media keeps shifting back to NO.

They're itching for another Katrina to pin on us in time for the election.

333 posted on 09/08/2008 8:42:22 AM PDT by NCjim (The more I use Windows, the more I love UNIX)
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To: NCjim
Is that what it is? I feel bad for yall because if everything heard is believed there must be some really scared people in NO.
334 posted on 09/08/2008 8:46:33 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Another Gulf Hurricane with a Saturday landfall.


335 posted on 09/08/2008 8:50:14 AM PDT by Rebelbase (STOP Democrat Misogyny!)
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To: Elle Bee

Maybe but there is so much more at stake on the national scene rather than worrying about the latest gossip on whether or not the doggy park receives adequate funding or not or if a bulldozer really can create a wetlands.


336 posted on 09/08/2008 8:52:27 AM PDT by rodguy911 (LAND OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARACUDA !!)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla; NautiNurse

Glad to be back to work today; for here is my internet access!

We weathered Gustav pretty well; a few trees down in the yard but none on the house, Thank God! We had hurricane force winds for at least four hours Monday (9/1) afternoon; it was quite an experience!

We were without power at home until it was restored Saturday afternoon. Hooray for the power crew from Kentucky!

We went to the camp at Pierre Part Friday and all we had was some limbs down and had to clean out the fridge, but otherwise A-OK. Thank the Lord!

We eagerly await news on Ike- Yikes!


337 posted on 09/08/2008 8:53:34 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Jesus Saves)
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To: kinghorse

Yeah for sure, as a teenager I used to fish the Keys bridges every weekend,finally moved here.


338 posted on 09/08/2008 8:53:58 AM PDT by rodguy911 (LAND OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARACUDA !!)
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To: rodguy911
Maybe but there is so much more at stake on the national scene rather than worrying about the latest gossip on whether or not the doggy park receives adequate funding or not or if a bulldozer really can create a wetlands.

To borrow a line from 'Blazing Saddles', "Never mind that s--t, here comes Ike."

339 posted on 09/08/2008 8:54:55 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
Yeah it will be like andrew was here, thousands of illegals killed, stored in freezer cars and Burger King freezers never to be reported. Lots of bad guys “lost” as well.
340 posted on 09/08/2008 8:57:50 AM PDT by rodguy911 (LAND OF THE FREE BECAUSE OF THE BRAVE--GO SARACUDA !!)
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