Hurricane Ike Live Thread

NOAA/NHC ^ | 7 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[girlscout]

Thanks for the link. I’m most definitely paying attention to Ike now. Those poor people in Haiti aren’t catching a break are they?

[AFPhys]

My visual “spline fit” of that last four hours puts it into the Everglades - landfall even east of Miami, and curving northward may just have started.

This could change everything.

Wayne Gretzky (post#54) may have finally taken his shot.

[AFPhys]

Absolutely - I call Key West easily in play right now, as of this hour.

This may be a “jog” that has come about that will be corrected back to the westerly track by the “steering” of the “ridge” but that IR sequence of the last four hours sure looks like a convincing change of track to be much more northerly than it has been.

Gov.Crist was just on radio - I wonder if the NHC has given him a heads up.

[jpsb]

Hmmm, a real turn north would certainly get the computers fired up at the NHC. Next couple of hours will be interesting.

[arkady_renko]

Next update on the Sat images should be telling. I posted a SPC pressure map earlier that had the tail of the HP ridge somewhere over Cuba. Maybe that is going to move it north now?

[rodguy911]

If you get any info at all that gives a surge estimate let me know and I will do the same, that's really all I am worried about here. You might want to to leave though, you are a lot closer to the action than I.

I heard they are already checking people before letting them back into the keys already up in Fla City.

[NautiNurse]

Best to wait < 45 min for the complete 5PM update. Ike appears to have jogged a tad N of the current track. This may have implications for the Keys.

Rainbow Sat Loop Click the little box up at the top right of the image "Trop Pts"--will show the forecast track.

[AFPhys]

There is no real turn north right now, but the last couple hours are really suggestive that it might be in the works. It might simply be a jog after passing over Great Inagua, but it is very easy suddenly to see it going entirely north of Cuba instead of running the island.

[jpsb]

Who gave Castro Carl Roves weather machine?

[AFPhys]

Ike caused 13-18 surge in Turks, I believe I’ve read.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

Floater - Visible Loop shows IKE heading NW now,,,

It won’t even come close to the next forecast point,,,(Cuba)

This track takes it to SE Fla...:0/

[arkady_renko]

It’s already north of the first forecast point unless it is going to turn 90 degrees.

[rodguy911]

wow what a site thanks !!

[NautiNurse]

It’s times like this, looking into the eye of a big powerful storm, when you start to wonder what is really going on in there...

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

I'm on the mainland but want to get back before they close the bridges

They are evacuating the residents of the keys.

[rodguy911]

I think many of us know what you are referring to and some of us agree.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

If this thing has turned towards Miami, it should be put in breaking news, don’t you think?

[NautiNurse]

The 5PM update will be out shortly.

[rodguy911]

I think the thing has so much intensity it is wobbling a little as they tend to do, but I did see a slight bit of northerly bend to it If I’m not mistaken.

[rodguy911]

wow great stuff there thanks a lot.