The more accurate polls will be out by Wednesday. Another interesting thing I heard on the BO interview was that they poll from 700-1000 people by phone. With caller ID, how many people don’t bother to answer if the number comes up Unknown?
My caller ID over the years, I've been called by Rasmussen once and Gallup once. I was not home either time. I don't think they mask their calls. If they did, everyone would be predicting a landslide for Obama.
There is a falling Obama convention bounce, a rising Palin convention bounce, lousy economic news last week, falling gasoline prices, a falling stock market and a weekend with terrible weather on the East coast. There are too many variables to even try to unravel this.