I know, I’ve caught hell from all sorts of pundents and folks on both sides of the isle, but I don’t see this race being close at all when its said and done.
I know I’m bucking traditional thinking with that statement.. I know all the arguments for it, I’ve had to listen to and counter them time and again over the last several months.
I am not saying take the race lightly, fight hard 24/7 as if we are losing, but I reject completely this is going to wind up being a 1-3 point race on election day.
Had the Dems chose Hillary, or some other politician with a record, experience and track record, yep, it would go down to the wire. They didn’t, they put up an empty suited schlub, who’s done nothing, says anything and thinks you are too stupid to notice when he shows his other face to his liberal friends.
The press has been all over the “excitement” factor of Fauxbama, and its BS. Look at his support, yes its rabid in some segments, but non existent in others. Blue Dogs do not support him deeply at all, working class don’t trust him. It has nothing to do with his skin color, it has everything to do with the fact he’s just not honest, and deep and has no record of accomplishment to assage concerns about the guy in the $10,000 suit telling folks what they want to hear.
Excitment by a small group does not equate to large deep support, and its important that the press and pundents wake up to this. He LOST most of the closing primaries, and lost all the important states in the end among his own party faithful. He hasn’t overcome those problems, no matter what you are being told, and he won’t be able to.
His entire strategy is to try to portray McCain as Bush III, and leverage Bush hatred to get to victory.. IE make the election a referendum on Bush, and that’s not going to fly. No one, no one that has been remotely paying attention can look at John McCain and see Bush, not Bush 41 and not Bush 43. He cannot win the election by this strategy, because the real question in most americans minds when they look at him, is simply this... WHO THE HELL ARE YOU AND WHAT HELL HAVE YOU DONE? You have no resume, you’ve done nothing.. why should I give you the keys to the White House? The most powerful job in the world? Why?
Hope and Change delivered as nothing but words are not going to get you there.
Every major decision he’s made in this campaign has been horrible, and not one delivered by a man with confidence. He snubbed Hillary and more importantly her supporters, politically this was an insanely stupid move. He picked a joke of a VP candidate, who brings NOTHING to the table except perhaps the belief by him and his advisers some counter to no foreign policy background. He has done nothing to ingraciate himself to the parts of his own party he’s having trouble with. HATE BUSH isn’t enough, they tried that in 04 and lost, and that’s when they were running AGAINST BUSH! Now you want to try to make McCain a Bush surrogate and try again? Please.
There is no way I look at this election and see the 1-3 point spread. I just don’t see it, nothing in the fundamentals I’ve seen point to this at all.
I agree with you. I would not have had McCain put anyone other than Palin on the ticket (or another of the few super dynamic conservatives). Sarah is going to initiate a “bandwagon” effect, I really believe. As soon as it appears quite likely that McCain will win, everyone is going to start deciding to vote for Sarah so they can be part of what is going to be a historic rise to her Presidency.
I so hope you are right.
I thought the same thing with Bush/Gore, but it was a squeaker, as you know.