Its a poll ceiling, McCain seems stuck in the mid to low 40s. That is a problem. Hopefully with a modest convention bounce he can pick up enough undecideds to pull into the high 40s (where Obama currently resides in almost every poll).
For those of you who discredit, or discount polls as erroneous or biased, I point to 2004 and 2006 where they were extremely accurate in foretelling election day results.
“For those of you who discredit, or discount polls as erroneous or biased, I point to 2004 and 2006 where they were extremely accurate in foretelling election day results.”
In 2004 approximately 95%+ of the polls through late August had Kerry over Bush. Then in late August/early Sept (at the time of the Republican convention) the polls began to shift to Bush. So I do hope 2008 is a repeat of 2004.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html