“For those of you who discredit, or discount polls as erroneous or biased, I point to 2004 and 2006 where they were extremely accurate in foretelling election day results.”
In 2004 approximately 95%+ of the polls through late August had Kerry over Bush. Then in late August/early Sept (at the time of the Republican convention) the polls began to shift to Bush. So I do hope 2008 is a repeat of 2004.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html
Precisely. Bush made his jump in september. With the help of the swiftboat vet crew, and pointing out kerry’s “he was for it before he was against it” positions, Bush put too much distance between himself and Kerry. Kerry had a better October but still couldn’t close the gap, thats why this month is so important.
Every day the media is talking about another “Palin” scandal is a bad day for the McCain campaign, regardless of how you look at it