Posted on 08/31/2008 8:12:18 AM PDT by frankjr
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday—the day before the Republican National Convention is scheduled to begin—shows Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by three percentage points both with and without leaners. That’s exactly the same edge Obama enjoyed a week ago on the eve of the Democratic National Convention.
Today’s numbers show a one-point improvement for McCain, but Obama still leads 47% to 44%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 49%, McCain 46%
There have been significant changes in perception of John McCain in the two days of polling since he named Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. Since then, 49% of Republicans voice a Very Favorable opinion of McCain. That’s up six percentage points from 43% just before the announcement. Also, 64% of unaffiliated voters now give positive reviews to McCain, up ten points since naming his running mate.
Palin herself made a good first impression and is now viewed favorably by 53% of voters nationwide. Her counterpart, Joe Biden, is viewed favorably by 48%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Obama edges closer to 50%, McCain does not. There is resistance to both candidates. I’m sure McCain realized this when he picked Palin. It’s fun to cite all the reasons McCain should win but reality is we are in danger of losing control of the US to the most left wing Congress and president in history.
Strange that Gallup shows McCain ahead and Rasmussen doesn’t.
This poster wonders how many of those “unaffiliated” respondents, might just be the sort of people who would post right here on FR.
Former Republicans, who had gotten so infuriated, they no longer considered themselves to be Republicans.
Who now are considering, coming home...
Huh? Gallup had Obama with an 8 point lead yesterday. If McCain is leading in Gallup, that would be a monstrous shift.
Gallup has Obama further ahead, not McCain.
If Sarah makes Plugs look like an idiot or even holds her own in the debates. The election is over, The good guy’s (and gal’s) win.
“Strange that Gallup shows McCain ahead and Rasmussen doesn’t.”
Gallup showed McCain up about a week ago. But as of yesterday Obama was up (bounce). It will be interesting to see what Gallup shows today.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2071312/posts
McCain's team has been fantastic in its ads, in its quick responses, and in choosing Palin.
Still, I feel like I'm in a football game between Southern Cal and Appalachia St. and while Southern Cal keeps fumbling, and throwing interceptions and getting penalties---keeping the game close---underneath it really isn't that close. I hope I'm wrong.
See post 9
Wait until tomorrow when the last Obama day rolls off the polling average. Then we’ll know what shape we’re in.
If these numbers stay the same on election day, McCain will will win by 20 points.
That’s ZOGBY, not GALLUP. That’s very important. In 2006, Zogby had Blackwell within 5 points of Strickland in OH governor’s race, but Blackwell lost by 25!! Zogby’s is an internet poll and highly suspicious. Gallup is left-tilted by using “registered” voters instead of “likely,” but it is consistent. Rasmussen uses “likely,” but it’s always a crapshoot as to who is a “likely” voter. Ras was very good in 2006, and I think he’s got it dead on this time.
You’re absolutely right. I was watching Meet the Distressed as I typed, and they were mentioning Gallup and I got my wires crossed. Mea culpa.
It’s understandable. BTW, from my perspective, the best place to go is the polling page on “realclearpolitics.com.” It gives both the polls in order of date, and the composite. Now, you can cherry pick and take the “most recent” polls that you like and take the composites where McCain leads, but if you are consistent, McCain still trails slightly both in national #s and in the EC. The good news is that prior to the Dem convention, the trend was with him, and that (here I go, cherry picking) if you take MOST of the most recent polls, McCain was at about 260 EVs.
Zogby had McCain up on Fri/Sat polling. So much for the Parthanon bounce. Throughout the primaries, Obama always did considerably worse on election day than the polls predicted.
Bottom line. If the polls don’t have Obama up by ten, he’s behind and Barry knows it.
“It looks scary that O is still ahead. “
Let’s face it. This was supposed to be the Democrats year (at least according to the media - war, oil, housing, economy). Barack was riding high. And now, after their convention, it is basically in a tie. I would think that is great for where we are in the election. Plus, even with the initial favorable impression of Palin, folks aren’t going to change or decide overnight. I think most undecideds are still undecided. But the rise in McCain’s favorable in unaffiliated voters is a good sign.
I think the undecideds want to see more of Palin first.
There are two months to convince voters.
I wouldn’t get concerned just yet. Most of the public is still trying to learn just what Sarah Palin is all about. Once they have a better idea of where she stands on the issues, they’ll be more apt to change their support accordingly. Give it a little time, folks.
I think the fact that McCain’s favorability rating shot up 10% with independents is an extremely positive sign.
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