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Conservative Dems bailing on Obama; Rasmussen has no Michelle O bounce
hotair.com ^ | August 27, 2008 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Barack Obama has had an unprecedented slide in polling over the summer, losing as much as twelve points nationally and squandering momentum gained from besting Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Gallup’s polling has mirrored that of almost every other national survey, and they drill down to find the answer to Obama’s decline:

Barack Obama has been struggling to maintain his Democratic base thus far in August, and according to weekly averages of Gallup Poll Daily tracking, the problem seems to be with conservative Democrats.

Within the Democratic Party, Obama’s losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.

As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obama’s support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.

It’s not just conservative Democrats, either, although that has to be Obama’s main concern at the moment. Blue-dog Democrats have to run for tough Congressional races in the fall, and they will get linked to Obama regardless of whether they publicly embrace him or not. If Obama is losing credibility among conservative Democrats, the Blue Dogs will find that Obama’s impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats — most of which they won from Republicans in 2006.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008dncconvention; democrats; electionpresident; elections; nobama08; obama; puma
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To: Crimson Elephant; Free ThinkerNY
I think Republican House members can and should run against Obama this fall...actually use Obama in their ads with Pelosi. Rather than being scared by the “generic dem” number, just go straight at them.

I agree whole-heartedly. This is not a time for timidity. Timid will lose this year. Obama is fragile. The Dems are getting a good look at what they've bought and aside from the nutballs they are losing their nerve.

They thought they were getting a box of cereal and all they got was sugar and air.

Putin isn't impressed. Ma and Pa Kettle aren't impressed either.

21 posted on 08/27/2008 10:16:48 AM PDT by marron
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Obama is clearly a “net negative.” Even his name starts with a zero: Not Obama, 0bama.

Last night I saw Hillary supporters, apparently, dancing at the convention in NoBama hats. You go, girrrrrrrrrls!

As for Michelle, what do you call the girl who graduated at the bottom of charm school class? Media training cannot cover decades of nastiness and hate.


22 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:19 AM PDT by Veto! (Opinions freely dispensed as advice)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
No Michelle O bounce???

That can't be true. I got an email from Obama that said she was spectacular!

23 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:27 AM PDT by libs_kma (NOBAMA. Keep the change)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Chuck Todd was furious this morning when Joe Scarborough brought up the Gallup Poll showing no convention bounce.

LOL......he gave Joe a look that could kill. Said that it’s only one poll so it doesn’t count.

Wonder how long Joe has till he’s fired.


24 posted on 08/27/2008 10:17:52 AM PDT by Carley
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To: TexasNative2000

Dems keep pounding arrhythmias to the brain


25 posted on 08/27/2008 10:18:15 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat
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To: A_Former_Democrat

~~~~chuckle~~~~~


26 posted on 08/27/2008 10:19:27 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Is this tagline governed by McCain-Feingold?)
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To: kcm.org

Yeah. But the question is:

Who would win in a fight, B. Hussein or Chuck Norris?


27 posted on 08/27/2008 10:19:47 AM PDT by WayneS (And now I shall return to my hovel and cling to my guns ... until it is time to go to Church)
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To: TruthWillWin

Yes, all both of them.


28 posted on 08/27/2008 10:20:32 AM PDT by WayneS (And now I shall return to my hovel and cling to my guns ... until it is time to go to Church)
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.

The empty suit has no clothes.

.

29 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:12 AM PDT by polymuser (Taxpayers voting for Obama are like chickens voting for Colonel Sanders.)
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.

The empty suit has no clothes.

.

30 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:19 AM PDT by polymuser (Taxpayers voting for Obama are like chickens voting for Colonel Sanders.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Conservative Dems bailing on Obama

Thursday night's worship service at the Obamanon should just about finish it.

31 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:26 AM PDT by tbpiper (Obama/Biden: Instead of Ebony and Ivory, we have Arrogance and Insolence.)
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To: WayneS

Chuck Norris doesn’t fight girls.


32 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:36 AM PDT by marron
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Conservative Dems bailing on Obama

Thursday night's worship service at the Obamanon should just about finish it.

33 posted on 08/27/2008 10:21:37 AM PDT by tbpiper (Obama/Biden: Instead of Ebony and Ivory, we have Arrogance and Insolence.)
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To: marron

Obama is Chance the Gardner of color.


34 posted on 08/27/2008 10:22:36 AM PDT by skeeter
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To: Free ThinkerNY

“Conservative Democrats” are like “moderate Iranians”.


35 posted on 08/27/2008 10:24:42 AM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Mark Warner is one BORING speaker.

I did not like him when he was governor of the Commonwealth of Virginia and I despise him now.

He does not look like a real human being to me (”wooden” featurs, a’la Pinnochio) and he has an almost palpable insincerity about him despite his “charming” personality.

That is why I call him” “The Affable Android”.


36 posted on 08/27/2008 10:25:11 AM PDT by WayneS (What the hell is wrong with these people?)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
When was the last time a candidate had as tight of primary season as Obama did? Lately the usual primary season has ended soon after Iowa and New Hampshire, so the convention is the real first introduction of a candidate to the whole nation, thus he gets a bump in the polls. On the other hand Obama was so overexposed before now it is quite possible that he won't get a bounce. Everyone likely to vote already knows him and isn't likely to be swayed by the convention.
37 posted on 08/27/2008 10:26:24 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Whale oil: the renewable biofuel for the 21st century.)
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To: tbpiper

Why would anyone think a wife would change anyone’s mind anyway? Like she would say anything negative about her husband? Michelle sounded-looked like a black Donna Reed!!! She and her brother gave these speechs about their dad sending them both to college while working at a treatment center - how it was his life and then negated it all with how the government should pay for everyone’s college!!! Her brother before becoming a college coach was an investment banker!! So guess they have lived the American dream and maybe America is not such a bad place after all Michelle!!!


38 posted on 08/27/2008 10:27:15 AM PDT by LYSandra
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To: Veto!
As for Michelle, what do you call the girl who graduated at the bottom of charm school class? Media training cannot cover decades of nastiness and hate.

That's just it -- the bottom line. You can put lipstick on a pig and maybe even make the pig look good but at the end of the day its still a pig. As Fred Sanford said, "Beauty may be skin deep but ugly goes right down to the bone."

Michell has spent years showing us just how ugly her core beliefs are and no cosmetic makeover -- no matter how good it was -- can hide who she really is.

39 posted on 08/27/2008 10:27:39 AM PDT by An American In Dairyland
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To: Free ThinkerNY
they drill down to find the answer to Obama’s decline:

Gotta be racism. There's no other possible answer.

40 posted on 08/27/2008 10:28:44 AM PDT by Graybeard58
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