Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire
Ohio
Virginia
All of these states are 10% or less away from being moved into the McCain column.
Obama is ahead by 10% or less in 5 states, which represent 51 electoral votes. If those states go for McCain instead, it's 278-260 for McCain.
Either NV or NH (but not both) could still go for Obama, and McCain would still have the winning margin.
All of these states are 10% or less away from being moved into the McCain column.
I don't know about the other states, but McCain recently said that the Colorado River Compact in the West should be renegotiated, and his stock in Colorado started to drop. I have heard no end of comments from people wondering if he "gets" it.
Colorado already doesn't get to use all of it's water allocation, and renegotiating the Compact would automatically mean less water to the state and less economic development. It would cause severe economic strain.
Maybe not coincidentally, the water would be going to Arizona, McCain's home state. California would get some of it, too.
Bob Schaffer, a fellow Republican who is running for the Senate was quick to disown McCain on the issue. He said: "“I made some statement on the order of, ‘over my cold, dead, political carcass’, and talked about how this is only real guarantee and protection that we have against more politically powerful downstream and thirsty states and to renegotiate this, to use another context, that would be the equivalent of a lamb having a discussion with a pack of wolves about what’s going to be on the dinner menu,” From here *pops*.
Here's more from the Pueblo Chieftain *pops*, which gives a bit more background.
If McCain wants to win Colorado, he needs to stop taking it totally for granted.