[justlurking]

Another point: All of the states in McCain's column are solid, by 16% or more.

Obama is ahead by 10% or less in 5 states, which represent 51 electoral votes. If those states go for McCain instead, it's 278-260 for McCain.

Either NV or NH (but not both) could still go for Obama, and McCain would still have the winning margin.

[Momaw Nadon]

Thank you for your posts.

You are better at explaining stuff than I am.

[Verginius Rufus]

I noticed that too--all the McCain states are his by a landslide, and all the close states are given to Obama.

Just add Virginia and Ohio to McCain's side, and he's only 10 electoral votes short of victory.