Posted on 08/20/2008 6:48:55 AM PDT by rface
The latest Reuters/Zogby telephone survey shows McCain leads Obama by a 46% to 41% margin among likely voters.
And McCain not only enjoys a five-point edge in a two-way race against Obama, but also in a four-way contest including liberal independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr, the poll reveals. In the four-way contest, McCain wins 44% support, Obama 39%, Barr 3% and Nader 2%.
This latest Reuters/Zogby poll is a dramatic reversal from the identical survey taken last month – in the July 9-13 Reuters/Zogby survey, Obama led McCain, 47% to 40%. In the four-way race last month, Obama held a 10-point lead over McCain.
This latest live operator telephone survey was conducted Aug. 14-16, 2008 from Zogby’s call center in Upstate New York. It included 1,089 likely voters nationwide, and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points.
The Reuters/Zogby Horserace
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........... McCain ......... Obama .... NotSure
August.....46% ........... 41% ....... 13%
July.........40% ........... 47% ....... 13%
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The poll shows Obama losing voters to McCain in groups where Obama had bigger leads a month ago, such as Democrats, women and younger voters. Obama also lost ground among Catholics and Southerners....
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[[ Click the Link to see more raw Data ]]
(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...
Would like to wait until the next set of polls before I get overly excited about this.
This could simply be an outlier or even an attempt to sandbag the polls.
McCain has been trending up the last few weeks, but these kinds of jumps are difficult to believe.
The trend is looking good, I just hope people don’t get all excited now and if it tightens in a few days, get all depressed.
Who knows what may happen in that case. If she wrests it from him and then trys to give him the VP knod...would he take it?
I believe at this point it is becoming apparent that Obama is going to be a poison pill in any case.
Look I know this is good news but being a paranoid and pessimistic member of the vast right wing conspiracy compels me to say this is happening too soon.
My timeline for B.O.s defeat had him coming out of the Rat convention with a 5 point lead and bleeding off points weekly until McCain overtook him in mid September and swamped him in mid-October.
I don’t like what might happen at the Rat convention if the Obamaroid is too far behind and I’m sure we all know I’m talking about Democrats having buyer’s remorse and picking her thighness.
Good news makes me nervous
Are you forgetting Hagel and Chaffee heading up “Republicans for Obama?” That really can tilt the race ;)
Everyone, including the priest burst out laughting.
Polls like this coming right before the Democrat Convention have to create much anxiety among Obama supporters and Dems in general. I bet Bill Clinton is loving this and this kind of drop in Obama support gives Hillary a little more meat to dig her claws in.
Perhaps Obama and the Dem Big-Whigs see the best VP choice as being Hillary.... I would love to see the Obama/Hillary ticket....
Even better...A HILLARY! / Obama ticket
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Operation CHAOS Baby!
I find it curious that pollsters, who are usually immediate with their tracking results, have yet to post a post-Saddleback poll(at least one that I've seen). They post them immediately after every other debate, every other "event" of Democrat interest. What gives?
MSM Editors:
“Let’s see guys, we’ve been running too many polls. Let’s not show polls for a few weeks, eh.”
Looks good BUT the dynamics can change any minute with selection of a VEEP. If McCain picks that meathead Ridge or even worse, Crist or Liberman, he’s in trouble.
If Obama picks Hillary or Caoline Kennedy, he could regain lost points.
I think most Americans in both parties are unhappy with the party choices. I think most other Americans - the independents - have had it with both political parties and their criminal ineptitude in handling the borders and the economy.
Funny how all this is coming out before the convention... makes one think we are being manipulated. Hillary taking over?
The bottom will drop on election day. Look for a surge of psychologist appointments from Democrats in November.
Agreed...this one poll means little, especially in August, before the conventions.
Yet, the word seems to be trickling down...Obama is a...flake.
He has no core, and it shows when he tries to project his inner nothingness into something...he does not transcend his lack of experience, and apparent cultural disconnect with Americans.
Obama can’t be something he’s not, not matter how hard the MSM spins him.
Democrats — 83% July — 74% August
Whhhhat?
I don’t trust the numbers.
The paygrade remark should be the centerpiece of a month’s TV ads.
Prep for a lot of noise about "the comeback kid?"
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I won't get too excited about the #s, but I do get excited about seeing the Dems in full panic mode.
A president’s pension currently is $191,300 per year, until he is 80 years
old.
Assuming the next president lives to age 80, Sen. McCain would receive ZERO pension as he would reach 80 at the end of two terms as president.
Sen. Obama would be retired for 26 years after two terms and would receive $4,973,800 in pension.
Therefore, it would certainly make economic sense to elect McCain in November. How’s that for non partisan thinking???
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