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Why U.S.-Poland missile deal struck abruptly after 18 months of talks?
Xinhua ^ | 2008-08-16

Posted on 08/16/2008 2:49:49 PM PDT by lizol

Why U.S.-Poland missile deal struck abruptly after 18 months of talks?

2008-08-16 21:38:02

BEIJING, Aug. 16 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. and Poland have abruptly struck a deal to deploy parts of the U.S. global missile shield in Poland, which prompted a warning from Russia that the agreement may involve Warsaw in escalating Russian-U.S. tensions.

The U.S.-Polish deal, which started from January 2007, was inked Thursday after more than 18 months of talks. On Friday, Russia warned that the deal is threatening Russia's national security.

Why was the deal struck so abruptly after dragging on for more than 18 months? And is Russia's concern over the deal "a merely imaginary fear?"

POLAND: DREAM COMING TRUE

During the 18 months, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk had for several times expressed his hope that Poland could be protected immediately by the United States in case of danger, implying the deployment of Patriot missiles.

On Thursday, the United States finally yielded to the request which had not been responded to for quite a long time.

Under the agreement, the United States will help augment Poland's defenses by deploying a Patriot missile-launching unit, which includes 96 missiles and by setting up a military base, in exchange for placing 10 missile defense interceptors in the European country.

Referring to the deal, Tusk said "we have finally got understanding of our point of view that Poland, being a crucial partner of NATO and an important friend and ally of the United States, must also be safe."

He also revealed that the United States had become more receptive to Poland's request in the light of Russia's military action in Georgia.

"The events in the Caucasus show clearly that such security guarantees are indispensable," Tusk said.

The deal reportedly includes a declaration of U.S. military cooperation in case of a threat to Poland from third states, a provision that appeared to be a direct reference to Russia.

"As soon as we are sure that Poland's security has been reinforced to the degree we want, we are not going to wait for hours to sign a deal," the president added.

U.S.: EYEING ON SOMETHING ELSE

The Russia-Georgia conflict is a catalyst ensuring the success of the U.S.-Poland negotiations, Polish media said openly.

Russia's ambassador to NATO Dmitry Rogozin said the timing of the deal showed that the missile shield is aimed at Russia's nuclear deterrent.

However, during a visit to Georgia's capital, Tbilisi, U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice denied it.

"Poland is an independent country. And it's an ally of the United States. And it's a democratic country, to whose security the United States is committed," Rice said.

"Russia should welcome having democracies on its border," she added.

Nevertheless, the United States is hard to blot out the suspicion that the deal is aimed at deterring Russia.

The United States is playing an active role in Ukraine and Georgia's entry to NATO and is stepping up its deployment of missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic. The anti-missile bases in the two European countries will strengthen U.S. global strategic importance.

Following the signature of a deal between the United States and the Czech Republic on an air-defense radar system on July 8, the deal with Poland showed one more U.S. victory in the deployment of the missile shield system in Eastern Europe, Analysts said.

RUSSIA: CONCERNED WITH WORRIES

Moscow is convinced the base is aimed at Russia's missile force.

"The deployment of the new missile defense forces in Europe is aimed at Russia. So, fairy tales about deterring some rogue states with the help of these facilities do not work," Russia President Dmitry Medvedev said.

Immediately following the deal, Russian Foreign Minister SergeiLavrov canceled a trip to Warsaw previously planned for September, said Polish diplomats.

According to some Russian officials, Moscow will be obliged to take more effective measures to strengthen its defensive capability.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin had warned earlier on many occasions that Russia may have to re-target some of its rockets at the countries hosting U.S. missile defense bases.

Some analysts said the timing of the abrupt U.S. deal with Poland is anything but accidental and Russia's concern is not an imaginary fear.And the deal will probably escalate the tensions between Russia and the United States.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: antimissileshield; geopolitics; missiledefense; poland; russia
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1 posted on 08/16/2008 2:49:50 PM PDT by lizol
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To: lizol

Time to move our German bases to Poland.


2 posted on 08/16/2008 2:50:48 PM PDT by Ron Jeremy (sonic)
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To: Ron Jeremy
That would be a good idea. Provocative but good, nonetheless. If we have to put troops somewhere; it should be among friends.
3 posted on 08/16/2008 2:53:26 PM PDT by isrul (Harriet Quimby~1912~Hannah Reitsch ... A Coincidence?)
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To: isrul
If we have to put troops somewhere; it should be among friends.

Good point but I am sure Cuba is thinking the same about Russia.

4 posted on 08/16/2008 2:57:52 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Orange1998
So who will blink first? I bet on Bush/Rice.
5 posted on 08/16/2008 3:01:49 PM PDT by isrul (Harriet Quimby~1912~Hannah Reitsch ... A Coincidence?)
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To: lizol
“According to some Russian officials, Moscow will be obliged to take more effective measures to strengthen its defensive capability.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin had warned earlier on many occasions that Russia may have to re-target some of its rockets at the countries hosting U.S. missile defense bases.

Some analysts said the timing of the abrupt U.S. deal with Poland is anything but accidental and Russia's concern is not an imaginary fear.And the deal will probably escalate the tensions between Russia and the United States.”

No, the RABID behavior of THE BEAR is escalating tensions between the world and Russia.

6 posted on 08/16/2008 3:02:20 PM PDT by Chgogal (Voting "Present" 130 times might be a sign of a smart politician. It is not a sign of a good leader.)
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To: voteNRA; valkyry1; Monkey Face; MajorChaos; rrstar96; Arthur Wildfire! March; Lorianne; ZULU; ...
Eastern European ping list


FRmail me to be added or removed from this Eastern European ping list

7 posted on 08/16/2008 3:02:42 PM PDT by lizol
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To: Orange1998
Good point but I am sure Cuba is thinking the same about Russia.

I'd almost be willing to bet that as soon as the Castro brothers are gone, Cuber will go neutral, then ally itself with the US.

8 posted on 08/16/2008 3:06:04 PM PDT by null and void (Barack zerObama - International Man of Mystery...)
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To: lizol; xzins; 1000 silverlings; Lord_Calvinus; Alex Murphy; Gamecock; HarleyD; enat
"Why U.S.-Poland missile deal struck abruptly after 18 months of talks?"

Why? Because the U.S. is pretty darn smart.

Wonder what April Glaspie's been up to lately?

9 posted on 08/16/2008 3:06:26 PM PDT by Dr. Eckleburg ("I don't think they want my respect; I think they want my submission." - Flemming Rose)
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To: lizol

The “why now” is obvious and simple: Poland is scared to death of Russia. Justifiably so.

MM


10 posted on 08/16/2008 3:09:31 PM PDT by MississippiMan
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To: lizol
Maybe our guys are a hell of a lot smarter than we give them credit for and there was a very clever plan at play.
We give Georgia the go-ahead to get tough with its break-away territories, knowing the Russians will retaliate.
We anticipate Poland will panic and sign on to a a mutual protection pact which includes the missile shield.
Everything according to plan, except the Ruskies went a bit further on the push-back than we had expected..
There, my faith in the Pentagon and intelligence community has been restored...
11 posted on 08/16/2008 3:33:43 PM PDT by Riodacat (Legum servi sumus ut liberi esse possimus.)
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To: lizol

Do not be surprised if “defensive” missles end up in Venezuela in the very near future, invited by Chavez. We, prusuant to the Monroe Doctrin, will then have to launch an air-raid on the sites and more sabre-rattling. Now Obama wins, he will attend the ribbon-cutting.


12 posted on 08/16/2008 3:40:44 PM PDT by MarkT
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To: lizol

Why? Is it any more obvious? Georgia!


13 posted on 08/16/2008 3:42:37 PM PDT by rjp2005 (Lord have mercy on us)
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To: MarkT
Do not be surprised if “defensive” missles end up in Venezuela in the very near future,

Or Cuba............

14 posted on 08/16/2008 3:50:20 PM PDT by Riodacat (Legum servi sumus ut liberi esse possimus.)
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To: Riodacat

No, Cuba/Russia will not repeat that mistake. Raul is too old for that kind of action. Venezuela is tghe place to keep your eyes open.


15 posted on 08/16/2008 3:54:35 PM PDT by MarkT
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To: isrul
So who will blink first? I bet on Bush/Rice.

Obama. And he will publicly thank Putin for allowing him to blink.

16 posted on 08/16/2008 4:12:27 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: lizol

duh gee I wonder......


17 posted on 08/16/2008 4:18:47 PM PDT by yldstrk (My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
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To: MarkT

Too Old? Maybe he will so he could see it during his lifetime.


18 posted on 08/16/2008 4:30:07 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: null and void

That would be music to our ears! Imagine the economic boom for both sides.


19 posted on 08/16/2008 4:31:41 PM PDT by Orange1998
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To: lizol

Given Poland’s history with the former USSR I’m surprised that anyone would have to wonder why this was decided so quickly. Watching another country be invaded and most likely subjected to what your country lived through for decades would tend to give them incentive to get things done ASAP!


20 posted on 08/16/2008 4:45:28 PM PDT by chris_bdba
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