I concur with you that Powell was a lightweight, but Condi actually has bigger balls than he. The question is: How much bigger? Condi does not trust the Russian leadership, neither in the 1980s nor today. You may very well be right that Condi will prove to be a wimp. I say, give her a chance. If she folds like a paper towel than I will be the first to say you were right.
Sometime you never grasp the damage till much later....as with Kosovo, the Serbs, the Muslims, the whole ball of wax in that area. The State Department was 108 degrees wrong in assessing that one.
Of course, GW could send the man from Georgia, Jimmuh Cahtah, to Georgia....and something tells me that idiocy not beyond the realm of possibility.
Leni