LA may end up a repeat now of last time, a 3rd narrow victory for Landrieu (albeit this time without the substantial vote fraud). NJ, unfortunately, Dick Zimmer is no longer a first tier challenger (he was a decade ago) and while he may break the 40s, I think Lautenberg will win once again — NJ has been the ultimate rope-a-dope state for Republicans since the ‘70s. Maine we’ll hold, true, and probably MN, but Smith slipped behind in Oregon against a guy with a name similar to a pubic weave. MA is totally out of reach. Kerry will probably win by no less than 30%.
As it stands today, we probably go from 49 to 42 in the Senate (losing AK, CO, MS, NH, NM, OR, & VA).
I’ve never seen a poll with Smith behind.
This is so frustrating. We keep losing our grip in regions of this country. We are becoming platooned in the South and sinking everywhere. I don’t simply see it as an issue of conservatism. The entire party needs to be reenergized and retool a la the “New Republican Party” of 1975.
I certainly hope we’re not losing MS and that is a place where Obama’s liberalism can really hurt the downticket. And no I am intentionally ignoring the “conventional wisdom” of the special races. None of those races had anything close to the full story of Obama’s liberalism. But if Wicker loses I blame Barbour and Lott.
I don’t think we’ve ever failed to pick up a rat seat in consecutive cycle’s before.