This was your assertion:
“But they’re not. It’s not much, but it’s enough to sustain the prevalence outside their cohort through heterosexal contact and intravenous drug abuse.”
The article (and many others) refutes that:
From the article:
“Whereas once it was seen as a risk to populations everywhere, it was now recognised that, outside sub-Saharan Africa, it was confined to high-risk groups including men who have sex with men, injecting drug users, and sex workers and their clients.”
From your link (Comment section):
“Sex: From 2003 through 2006, the estimated number of HIV/AIDS cases increased approximately 5% among males and decreased 6% among females (Table 1). In 2006, males accounted for 74% of all HIV/AIDS cases among adults and adolescents. In 2006, rates were 33.8 per 100,000 among males and 11.5 per 100,000 among females (Table 5b).
Transmission category: From 2003 through 2006, the estimated number of HIV/AIDS cases increased among men who have sex with men (MSM) and remained stable among adults and adolescents with HIV infection attributed to high-risk heterosexual contact (heterosexual contact with a person known to have, or to be at high risk for, HIV infection) (Table 1). The estimated number of HIV/AIDS cases decreased among injection drug users (IDUs), MSM who were also IDUs, and among children. MSM (49%) and persons exposed through high-risk heterosexual contact (33%) accounted for 82% of all HIV/AIDS cases diagnosed in
Those numbers do not support “sustaining the prevalence” ofAIDS through heterosexual transmission.
They do support making public who has the disease so heterosexuals can avoid having sex with those individuals.
Nice job, Dervish. I don’t know if I have mentioned this to you in the past, but I have a small (and infrequent) Rethinking AIDS ping list I would love to add you to. If you’re interested, drop me a FReepmail. All the best—GGG
Look at Table 3 and the trends in the age cohorts older than 50 years old. Bisexuals and covert injection drug use transmitting it sexually to the heterosexual population explains it for me. I can't imagine many people in middle age having heterosexual intercourse with known homosexuals or obvious junkies. I don't think it is that big of a problem for whites. Minorities are another story, IMHO.
http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/topics/surveillance/resources/reports/2006report/table3.htm
City Is Pushing for H.I.V. Tests for All in Bronx
AIDS Among Latinos on Rise (14% of the U.S. population, they're 22% of new HIV and AIDS diagnoses)