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To: dervish; GodGunsGuts
Those numbers do not support “sustaining the prevalence” ofAIDS through heterosexual transmission.

Look at Table 3 and the trends in the age cohorts older than 50 years old. Bisexuals and covert injection drug use transmitting it sexually to the heterosexual population explains it for me. I can't imagine many people in middle age having heterosexual intercourse with known homosexuals or obvious junkies. I don't think it is that big of a problem for whites. Minorities are another story, IMHO.

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/topics/surveillance/resources/reports/2006report/table3.htm

City Is Pushing for H.I.V. Tests for All in Bronx

AIDS Among Latinos on Rise (14% of the U.S. population, they're 22% of new HIV and AIDS diagnoses)

64 posted on 07/23/2008 6:39:08 PM PDT by neverdem (I'm praying for a Divine Intervention.)
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To: neverdem; dervish

==I can’t imagine many people in middle age having heterosexual intercourse with known homosexuals or obvious junkies.

“Actually the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has reported a trend of heroin use starting much later in life. The typical story goes something like this:

An older man develops a relationship with a younger, drug addicted woman. One thing leads to another and the seductive link between sex and drug use results in men over 50 trying heroin for the first time. Once addicted, the same rules hold true as they drug with young drug addicted persons. Sharing needles and “works” results in an increased risk of HIV transmission via needle sharing in the over 50 population.”

http://aids.about.com/cs/aidsfactsheets/a/seniors.htm

==Look at Table 3 and the trends in the age cohorts older than 50 years old.

According to your CDC table, the percentage of AIDS cases for 2005-2006 in the 50-54 range has increased 4.3%.

I did some checking, during that same time period lifetime illicit drug use increased amongst that same age group by about the same amount:

Illicit drug use for ages 50-54 (numbers in thousands).

(Lifetime) 2005 = 10,961; 2006 = 11,391...(increase of 3.8%)

Needless to say, Duesberg’s Chemical-AIDS hypothesis would predict this very outcome.

Now for the really interesting statistics. Illicit drug use from year to year had a sharp increase (numbers in thousands):

(Past Year) 2005 = 1,632; 2006 = 1,901...(increase of 14.2%)

And the increase in those who reported using illicit drugs in the past month had the biggest jump of all:

(Past Month) 2005 = 1,028; 2006 = 1,252...(increase of 17.9%)

http://www.drugabusestatistics.samhsa.gov/NSDUH/2k6NSDUH/tabs/Sect1peTabs1to46.htm#Tab1.14A

If this trend continues, we should see a steady rise in AIDS cases amongst the 50-54 year old cohort that roughly matches the increase in long-term/lifetime illicit drug use. This situation will of course be exacerbated by unlucky HIV-positives who agree to take AIDS chemotherapy drugs.


67 posted on 07/24/2008 11:23:48 AM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: neverdem; GodGunsGuts

“I can’t imagine many people in middle age having heterosexual intercourse with known homosexuals “

Therein lies the problem, in part. How are they “known?”

Was Mrs. McGreevey having sex with Gov. McGreevey? They have children.


85 posted on 07/24/2008 2:35:46 PM PDT by dervish (After 143 days of work experience, Obama believed he was ready to be Commander In Chief)
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