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To: cogitator
Record-Breaking Temperatures [in 1998] Seen As Evidence Of Faster Rate Of Global Warming

Karl and his colleagues conclude that there is only a one-in-20 chance that the string of record high temperatures in 1997-1998 was simply an unusual event, rather than a change point, the start of a new and faster ongoing trend.

And alarmists like yourself are already pointing to the next El Nino which has yet to occur as evidence of global warming.

57 posted on 06/23/2008 10:24:58 AM PDT by palmer (Tag lines are an extra $1)
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To: palmer
And alarmists like yourself are already pointing to the next El Nino which has yet to occur as evidence of global warming.

That's not really a fair statement. I expect that the next year with a big El Nino will set a new global temperature record because the enhancement of warm temperatures caused by El Nino will take place "on top of" the underlying warming trend. If there was any reason to think there was a real significant cooling trend, I couldn't state my prediction with confidence.

The global temperatures of 2005 were the best evidence of global warming that the global temperature record can provide. However, the anomalous nature of 1998 has to be understood to put the 2005 temperatures in context. If 1998 is not properly seen as anomalous, then what the 2005 temperatures signify will not be perceived. (And there are a lot of people for which that's happening.)

61 posted on 06/23/2008 11:14:09 AM PDT by cogitator
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