Beam me to Planet Gore !
“Back of the envelope” total takeover of the industrialized world.
And the writer accepts (as fact) every propagandist word they utter.
“But let's look at the modelled temperature increases associated with each scenario. “Agree and ignore” sees temperatures rise by 4.85C by 2100 (with a 90% probability); for “Kyoto plus”, it's 3.31C; and “step change” 2.89C.”
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These numskulls are so far away from reality that I wonder if they are in an alternate universe!
There is NO way that this is going to occur. Even in the unlikely event that the present temperature trend continued, the most that temperatures would rise is about 1.5C. (Of course, they are probably postulating that temperatures be measured in the heart of growing residential areas instead of having the actual temperature of Earth measured.)
Moreover, and more importantly, we STILL have not started solar cycle 24. It is by now well established that the length of the solar cycle is well correlated to the temperature of Earth, though the mechanisms are still to be well understood. Most solar scientists agree that the Sun is now hotter than it has been for at least 8,000 years, and most are predicting that it is going to be much cooler during the next 50 years.
Over the last 200+ years, the solar cycle has averaged almost exactly 132 months = 11 years.
Cycles 18-23 (1944 to 1996) averaged a short 125 months long. (Thus the higher temp)
This cycle now is over 144 months long, and still counting. There have been a couple cycle 24 spots, but there are still more cycle 23 spots.
There is a very strong negative correlation of cycle length with Earth’s temperature. My recollection of this is that it amounts to about 0.1C / 100 days, and I’m going to just depend on that memory for purposes of this post. If accurate, the implication then, is that this particular cycle has already set us up for a temperature decrease of 0.57C compared to 1944-1996. That means ITS GOING TO GET COLDER, folks, not warmer!
I am far more concerned about falling world-wide temperatures than a degree or two of warmer temps. If these dolts also reduce the CO2 in the atmosphere, it will slow the growth of badly needed plant material, and add to the problems of our world and its people. Pretty much par for the course, for socialists and politicians, though.