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CAN MCCAIN OVERCOME THE TRIPLE WHAMMY?
Center for Politics ^ | May 29, 2008 | Alan I. Abramowitz

Posted on 06/01/2008 4:14:04 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

With the long and contentious Democratic nomination race finally winding down, the attention of media and the public is beginning to shift to the general election. In November, voters will face choice between two rather atypical presidential candidates. For the first time in over fifty years, the party that controls the White House will not be represented by either the incumbent president or the incumbent vice-president.

Instead, the Republican Party, which has seen its popularity and electoral fortunes plummet since 2004, will pin its hopes on John McCain - an individual who has frequently clashed with his own party's leadership. And McCain's Democratic opponent will be Barack Obama, the first African-American ever to receive a major party presidential nomination.

The unusual characteristics of the two major party candidates have led to considerable uncertainty among political observers about the outlook for the November election. While President Bush's low approval ratings and overwhelmingly negative perceptions of the economy suggest a very difficult political climate for Republicans, John McCain's reputation as a maverick and Barack Obama's problems uniting Democratic voters behind his candidacy have led some analysts to suggest that a Democratic victory in November is far from certain.

Polling data seem to support the conclusion that despite the unpopularity of his party, John McCain has a realistic chance of keeping the White House in Republican hands. McCain has been running neck-and-neck with Obama in most recent national polls. In the May 21st Gallup tracking poll, for example, Obama held a narrow 47 to 44 percent lead over McCain.

The problem with such early horserace polls, however, is that they are not very accurate predictors of the actual election results. Polls in the spring of 1988 showed Michael Dukakis with a comfortable lead over George H.W. Bush and polls in June of 1992.....

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; larazarino; mccain; mccain08; rino
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1 posted on 06/01/2008 4:14:04 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Barack Hussein Obama is unelectable. End of story.


2 posted on 06/01/2008 4:15:59 PM PDT by snarks_when_bored
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To: MinorityRepublican
THE AUDACITY OF TRUTH ABOUT BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA
3 posted on 06/01/2008 4:16:52 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: MinorityRepublican

I don’t ssee where it makes much difference. Which do you prefer? A slow death or a quick one?


4 posted on 06/01/2008 4:17:47 PM PDT by Paperdoll ( on the cutting edge)
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To: MinorityRepublican

R U kidding me!

McCain has to be the luckiest candidate for POTUS since Ronald Reagan faced Jimmy Carter.

My cat could/would beat Barack Hussein Obama on 11/4!
Heck, my Jeep Cherokee could beat Obama! LMAO


5 posted on 06/01/2008 4:18:30 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: Paperdoll

“I don’t ssee where it makes much difference?”

You don’t know many Marines do ya...


6 posted on 06/01/2008 4:19:24 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: kellynla

Your cat could probably beat Obama, but I’m not so sure about McCain.


7 posted on 06/01/2008 4:20:08 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: kellynla

Just think, we could have had hard to elect Hunter, and still beat Obama.

We’re so screwed.


8 posted on 06/01/2008 4:20:21 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (OVERPRODUCTION......... one of the top five worries for American farmers.)
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To: kellynla
Stranger things have happened!
9 posted on 06/01/2008 4:20:48 PM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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To: kellynla

:) Not very well. My late husband was a Marine.


10 posted on 06/01/2008 4:20:57 PM PDT by Paperdoll ( on the cutting edge)
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To: MinorityRepublican

McCain is ahead in every National Poll by 1 to 5 points.


11 posted on 06/01/2008 4:21:17 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Cicero

“but I’m not so sure about McCain”

The only way McCain loses is if he is caught in bed with a dead girl or a live boy b/4 11/4.


12 posted on 06/01/2008 4:21:45 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: kellynla

We’ll see how happy those marines are after the next four years.


13 posted on 06/01/2008 4:21:48 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Ooo what's that terrible smell? Oh, I stepped in a big pile of 'lesser of two evils'. Careful...)
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To: Paperdoll

I prefer McCain over the Muslim Militant.


14 posted on 06/01/2008 4:22:42 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Paperdoll

I prefer a slow death. If I’m still alive, there’s hope.


15 posted on 06/01/2008 4:24:28 PM PDT by Marie2 (“I don’t want to give up eating all I want because of a failed hypothesis,” said Robinson)
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To: MinorityRepublican

McCain is a pro-war Democrat who changes his principles as most of us change our shirts. The hawk may morph into a dove before November gets here and his pro-life stand could definitely change.


16 posted on 06/01/2008 4:24:40 PM PDT by Biblebelter (If the big blue states got to choose the Republican nominee, I say let them elect him in the fall)
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To: Paperdoll

Well then, you of all people should know that there is a hell of a lot of difference in what Obama/Clinton would do if elected and what McCain would do regarding the war in Iraq & Afghanistan. McCain has plainly said that the troops will remain until the mission is complete. PERIOD

Semper Fi,
Kelly


17 posted on 06/01/2008 4:26:31 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

We can hope people vote against Obama by voting for McCain.


18 posted on 06/01/2008 4:26:49 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: DoughtyOne
“We’ll see how happy those marines are after the next four years.”

It is not a matter of how “happy” we are.
It is a matter of completing the mission.
And McCain, being a fellow Viet Nam war veteran knows,
the Viet Nam war was lost in America not Viet Nam.
And he has repeatedly stated that he does not want a repeat performance in Iraq & Afghanistan. The mission will be completed before we leave.

For the record, we capitalize Marine here on FR.

Semper Fi,
Kelly

19 posted on 06/01/2008 4:30:11 PM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots! Semper Fi!)
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To: kellynla
Don't kid yourself with all of this happy talk. McCain is going to get trounced. Obama has the money, the organization, and an energized base that will make him virtually unstoppable.

If you think that nominating the oldest man ever to run for President the first time at 72, who lacks the support of a siginificant portion of his base, and is the party's maverick who is for amnesty and a cap and trade system to fight global warming and against drilling in ANWAR is a winning strategy, you are sadly mistaken. And McCain's stance on an unpopular war [which I support] will tie him to a President who has some of the lowest favorability ratings in history. This is not the stuff to win over independents and moderate Dems.

20 posted on 06/01/2008 4:30:14 PM PDT by kabar
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