I’m not convinced that Hispanics are buying into that. I know Conservatives don’t. I know a couple of people who are generally leftists. They don’t.
I do suspect this poll was baked, but I can’t say for certain. Others up the thread seem to be rather ‘on to this’ particular polling firm though, and they think it is.
With my inclination and their take on it, I’m fairly confident this is timed just right to defeat the effort to get this on the ballot in November. We’ll see just how liberal the state is then.
You could well be right. I remember when an anti-gay-marriage ballot measure was approved in Oregon, 58% voting for. This was a distinct disappointment to gay proponents, because the polling was tighter. Oregon did approve the measure by a smaller margin than other states that year (2004); in Kentucky, a similar measure was approved 75% to 25%. There’s a trend towards greater acceptance of gay people, but it’s probably not be there yet in terms of approval of gay marriage. Unless there’s a sea change in American politics, I think it will be there in about a decade.