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Election 2008: Washington Presidential Election Washington: Obama 51% McCain 40%
Rasmussen ^ | May 16, 2008 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 05/16/2008 8:35:31 PM PDT by Red Steel

The Pacific Northwest is beginning to look like very friendly territory for Barack Obama. Last week, Rasmussen Reports polling showed that Obama had opened a double-digit lead over John McCain in Oregon. Now, Obama has done the same in Washington state (see video report).

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in Washington finds Barack Obama leading John McCain 51% to 40%. For Obama, that’s an improvement since late-March when the presumptive Democratic nominee led his Republican counterpart by five percentage points.

Nationally, Obama and McCain are essentially even in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In Washington, Obama attracts the vote from 83% of Democrats and leads McCain by seven points among unaffiliated voters. McCain attracts support from 87% of Republicans.

McCain leads Obama among voters earning $40,000 to $75,000 annually. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year as well as those who earn more than $75,000 a year. McCain leads among regular churchgoers while Obama is strongest among those who rarely or never attend services.

Obama is viewed favorably by 57% of voters statewide, unchanged from the previous survey. McCain now earns positive reviews from 49%, down seven points from 56% in late March.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a 93.0 % chance of winning Washington’s Eleven Electoral College Votes. At the time this poll was released, Washington was rated as “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

In the unlikely event that Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, she leads McCain by five, 47% to 42%. However, as Rasmussen Reports noted last week, the Democratic race is effectively over and Obama is the party’s presumptive nominee.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Washington voters favor the concept of a federal gas tax holiday. Fifty-five percent (55%) are opposed.

At the same time, just 36% believe the federal government needs more revenue to fund important national programs. Forty-eight percent (48%) disagree. Nationally, voters are evenly divided on this topic.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Washington voters are worried that the next President will raise taxes so much that it harms the economy. That’s the lowest level of concern registered in any state polled by Rasmussen Reports on this topic.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) are worried that the next President will cut taxes so much that it harms important government programs.

Washington voters, by a 56% to 26% margin, oppose an increase in the capital gains tax. Nationally, 65% oppose this particular tax increase. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Washington voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.

A separate national survey found that 60% of voters believe tax hikes are generally bad for the economy.

Thirty percent (30%) of Washington voters say that George W. Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Twice as many, 58%, say he is doing a poor job.

Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire has significantly improved her prospects for re-election over the past couple of months.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Washington
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; obama; polls2008; wa2008
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1 posted on 05/16/2008 8:35:31 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

there will be a zillion of these polls before november.


2 posted on 05/16/2008 8:36:42 PM PDT by ken21 ( people die + you never hear from them again.)
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To: Red Steel

What a load


3 posted on 05/16/2008 8:38:39 PM PDT by yldstrk (My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
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To: Red Steel

Captain Queeg is toast in November. Our next President is going to be a Muslim Marxist. Hussein Obama is spectacularly unqualified to be President, and it is a testament to the stupidity and incompetence of the Republican Party that he will likely be elected. The weak, spineless morons who abandoned conservatism for a slow, creeping socialism are going to be thrown out on their fat lazy asses. They will go home rich and retire on lobbyist money. The rest of us will suffer with high taxes and less freedom than we’ve ever had. Thats if Hussein Obama’s Muslim buddies dont nuke us first. Thanks so much, GOP. What a great legacy you leave behind.


4 posted on 05/16/2008 8:41:00 PM PDT by Astronaut
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To: Red Steel
Not surprising. However, this can effectively be used against Obama even in Washington:

Washington voters, by a 56% to 26% margin, oppose an increase in the capital gains tax.
5 posted on 05/16/2008 8:42:11 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Red Steel
Fifty-one percent (51%) of Washington voters are worried that the next President will raise taxes so much that it harms the economy. That’s the lowest level of concern registered in any state polled by Rasmussen Reports on this topic.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) are worried that the next President will cut taxes so much that it harms important government programs.

These people like to pay taxes I guess.

6 posted on 05/16/2008 8:42:29 PM PDT by w1andsodidwe (Jimmy Carter(the Godfather of Terror) allowed radical Islam to get a foothold in Iran.)
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To: Astronaut
Captain Queeg is toast in November.

A poll of Washington state can hardly tell anyone that. However, no Democrat has won without West Virginia in nearly one hundred years. Obama has no chance there.
7 posted on 05/16/2008 8:46:26 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: yldstrk
It's the left coast no big loss here.

McCain is ahead in the states of Missouri, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania according to the latest Rasmussen polls.

8 posted on 05/16/2008 8:46:34 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

I think McCain will win the presidential election, while the Dems will control Congress. This will give us the kind of divided government where each party can serve as a check on the other and prevent the kind of abuses we have seen with one party government by either party.


9 posted on 05/16/2008 9:04:34 PM PDT by FFranco
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To: FFranco

“I think McCain will win the presidential election, while the Dems will control Congress. This will give us the kind of divided government”

In what POSSIBLE universe is THAT “divided” government?


10 posted on 05/16/2008 9:14:12 PM PDT by Grunthor (Juan agrees with Ted Kennedy on Amnesty, Gore on GW & says Hillary'd be a good POTUS)
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To: Red Steel

As if a (R) could carry the state full of angry liberals. Jeez. It doesn’t matter. The fact that Barry doesn’t have a much larger lead is what’s astounding.


11 posted on 05/16/2008 9:18:51 PM PDT by farlander (Try not to wear milk bone underwear - it's a dog eat dog financial world)
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To: Libertina; dragonblustar; steel_resolve; angry elephant; snowsprite; American in Israel; ...
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
Say WA? Evergreen State ping

FReepmail sionnsar if you want on or off this ping list.

Ping sionnsar if you see a Washington state related thread.

12 posted on 05/16/2008 9:29:43 PM PDT by sionnsar (trad-anglican.faithweb.com |Iran Azadi| 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | UN: Useless Nations)
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To: Red Steel
....according to the latest Rasmussen polls.

I still remember how Bush was supposed to win in a landslide in 2000 according to Rasmussen polls.

13 posted on 05/16/2008 9:40:59 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep

Well, Rasmussen redeemed himself in 2004. His polling was the most accurate out of the bunch to call the election for Bush.
His final poll was < 1% of the final outcome. In contrast to Rasmussen in 2004, Zogby with all his sauce was about 9% off and the Fox/Dynamic poll said Kerry would win by 5 to 6%.


14 posted on 05/16/2008 9:48:59 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

True.


15 posted on 05/16/2008 9:55:45 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: Red Steel
Sounds like a blue state is still blue. Stunning how familiar the map is looking.


16 posted on 05/16/2008 10:11:43 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Funny how that keeps happening. :)


17 posted on 05/16/2008 10:14:56 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: 1035rep

Should make it easy to decide where to campaign.
Only a handful of states decide now who will be President.


18 posted on 05/16/2008 10:18:21 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Red Steel; All
This is off-topic, but concerns Obama.

Why don't we turn the MSM's deification of Obama into an opportunity to permanently de-claw the IRS?

This post (<-click), while addressing taxes, helps to explain why government "leaders" like Obama are actually in contempt of the Constitution that they have sworn to defend, foolishly following in the footsteps of FDR's dirty federal spending politics. In fact, the article referenced below shows that Obama is the #1 federal spending proposer in the Senate for '08; Clinton is #2.

Obama, a big-shot federal spender
The people need to reconnect with the Founder's division of federal and state government powers. The people then need to wise up to the major problem that the federal government is not operating within the restraints of the federal Constitution, particularly where constitutionally unauthorized federal spending is concerned.

The bottom line is that the people need to send big-shot, Constitution-ignoring federal spenders like Obama home as opposed to trying to send people like him to the Oval Office. The people need to get in the faces of the feds, demanding a stop to constitutionally unauthorized federal spending while appropriately lowering federal taxes - or get out of DC.

19 posted on 05/16/2008 10:38:56 PM PDT by Amendment10
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To: FFranco
This will give us the kind of divided government where each party can serve as a check on the other and prevent the kind of abuses we have seen with one party government by either party.

I disagree. McCain and a Democratic congress is the worst possible combination for the long-term future of the country.

20 posted on 05/16/2008 11:22:32 PM PDT by Hazwaste (Vote! Vote for the conservative local, state, and national candidates of your choice, but VOTE!)
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