One has to wonder what connections to the Clinton campaign this author has. Some good blogger can find out. I have my suspicions.
Luttwak worked for Reagan—not that he's trustworthy. He's a strategy wonk who escaped the Nazis and Stalin with his parents. He was key in helping bring down the Soviet Union. Then again, he's eccentric. He thinks modern war should be fought with Sun-Tzu in one hand and a gun in the other (in which I concur), but he's ambivalent about capitalism (which is like being against gravity). He's way too cranky to dream of becoming a Hill-bot. But that doesn't make his predictions sound.
Realpolitik would seem to dictate that if Barry H. is the clueless defeatist he seems, the Moslems will find a reason to excuse his apostasy and help him somehow. But jihad clerics don't really do logic. They could go nuts over the religion of Barry's father as easily as running amok over a cartoon.
But I think the reason Obama would be a strategic disaster in the Middle East has less to do with the letter of the Koran and more to do with Moslems. Clerics are at the mercy of crowds of unlettered lunatics who might follow rival clerics. Their supreme god seems to be fear. This gives them reflexive contempt for weakness—such as ex-President Carter's. My guess is that they would flee any association with a weak POTUS such as Obama and step up their attacks against every conceivable American and Christian interest.
Edward N. Luttwak was a neoconservative back when it meant something -- back in the Reagan years when it meant standing up to the Soviets.
He got disillusioned with second-generation neoconservatism and with just about everything else in the last decade or so.
Luttwak was a friendlier to Bill Clinton than Podhoretz was, but I don't think he's looking for a job with Hillary (he's over retirement age as it is), just looking to stir things up.