Posted on 05/10/2008 1:29:44 PM PDT by Red Steel
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Wisconsin shows John McCain holding identical leads over both potential democratic candidates. McCain tops both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama by a 47% to 43% margin.
In late March, McCain and Obama were in a toss-up Clinton trailed the GOP hopeful by eleven points.
McCain enjoys double-digit leads over both candidates among men, but trails both candidates among women in the Badger State. The GOP candidate also leads both candidates by double-digits among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
Nationally, while the fundamentals of Election 2008 favor the Democrats, McCain remains competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Overall, McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of Wisconsin voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obamas ratings are 51% favorable, 48% unfavorable. Clinton earns more negative feedback, with 46% who view her favorably and 52% who do unfavorably.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning the Badger States ten Electoral College Votes this fall. John Kerry won the state for the Democrats in 2004 by 10,000 votes out of three million cast. Four years earlier, Al Gore won the state by only 5,000 votes. Immediately prior to release of this poll, Wisconsin was rated as Leans Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
Like all other states, the economy is viewed as the most important electoral issue by a plurality (46%) of Wisconsin voters. Nationally, voters trust Democrats more than Republicans on the economy. At the same time, however, they trust McCain more than either Democrat.
A huge concern among consumers today is the price of gas. With the rapid increase in gas prices in recent months, McCain and Clinton openly favor a gas tax holiday during the summer, while Obama is opposed. Nearly half (47%) of Wisconsin voters favor a gas tax holiday, while 38% are opposed to the idea. These figures are similar to the national average.
The survey also found that more voters are worried about the next president raising taxes, rather than cutting them. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Wisconsin voters are at least somewhat worried that the next president will raise taxes too much and harm the economy. Meanwhile, just 35% are concerned that the next president will cut taxes too much and harm important government programs.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Wisconsin voters believe the government needs more tax revenue to fund important national programs. Forty-three percent (43%) disagree.
Both democratic candidates have stated that they would consider raising the capital gains tax. Obama has voiced that he would consider raising the tax from 15% to 28%. In Wisconsin, 59% of voters oppose a raise in the capital gains tax. Nearly half (49%) of voters believe a raise in the tax would hurt the economy. Nationally, 65% of voters are opposed to a raise in the capital gains tax.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.
Boy that is huge. WI is one of those must have Democrat states.
This is VERY IMPORTANT NEWS. If McCain wins Wisconsin, he’ll probably get Iowa and Michigan too. Wisconsin’s liberals will be drawn to Obama, but Rasmussen’s samplings know that.
Bottom line . . . McCain’s reputation as an independent maverick may prove to be the VERY BEST nominee the GOP could have picked. A far right conservative would not have been able to get the independent moderates that McCain can, and they will be needed to offset these supposed new, young voters Obama is bringing to the table.
To my knowledge, Boone Pickens made a bet with Kerry that Pickens would pay Kerry a million bucks if he could prove one thing wrong that the Swift Boaters charged. But in order to play, Kerry had to turn over his SF15, diary, and other relevant papers.
Anyone know more about this?
Only that Kerry said he would take the bet. Noth’n said from Kerry yet. LoL!
I wonder why AP would not have did a FOIA request to get Kerry’s SF15? (sarcasm/)
The same margin that President Bush was leading by and lost the state by < 1%
Bradley Effect
Wisconsin is vital to any Democrat plans for victory.
That's why I suspect the Dems use vote fraud in the Cheesehead state to put them over the top when it's close.
“That’s why I suspect the Dems use vote fraud in the Cheesehead state to put them over the top when it’s close.”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
You probably also suspect the sun of rising in the East.
And I suspect the sun sets in the West. ;-)
MCCain bump. We sure don’t want Hillary or Obama.
This is something to watch.
Now is the time to appeal our brand to more voters and McCain is just the guy to do that.
There is an inevitability to folks understanding, accepting and embracing the core reality of principle — which is, oddly, that there are no conservatives, and no liberals.
There are only people more conservative than others, and more liberal than others.
This is as it has always been. It is absolutism. An absolute truth. The folks who want to believe that “they are conservatives” are relativists because it is a contorted theory. To think there is some absolute measure of conservatism is to think that there is some absolute array of issues that defines it — and there is not. There are only relative positions. Abortion is the obvious example.
Someone who thinks they are “a conservative” will say “life begins at conception”. But this was not the original definition of “pro life”. Originally, “pro life” opposed contraception as unnatural. Worse, now, the definition of “conception” is not clear. The egg membrane and sperm don’t have an interface. The membrane’s thickness has a measurement. The sperm can be partially thru or not thru at all or entirely thru. Because it is entirely thru does not mean the DNA transfer has taken place. So . . . what is conception? What is the precise moment of it? At what instant in time did it occur and were it interrupted amid that process, is that abortion? The point being . . . it’s all relative.
And so we see that same absolute truth in a macro sense. That some things and some people are more conservative than others. Like McCain is in comparison to Obama.
Sophistry at it's very best. We don't need to know the "instant at time" that conception takes place to know that after conception a a new human being has been conceived. Moreover, except for the morning after pill, all induced abortions take place after the woman knows she has conceived.
Good sophistry though as far as sophistry goes.
Oooh. A label.
Sort of like “conception”.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.