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A Louisiana Lesson for the GOP
Wall Street Journal ^ | 9 May 2008 | A Louisiana Lesson for the GOP

Posted on 05/10/2008 8:42:34 AM PDT by shrinkermd

No, not the lesson the national press is pushing, that Mr. Jenkins's loss is a sign of GOP disaster this fall, or that it demonstrates how difficult it will be for Republicans to link local competitors to the liberal Mr. Obama. Republicans face tough odds, yes. But that's because they've yet to prove they've learned a lesson, as they demonstrated again with Mr. Jenkins.

By the lazy standards of the GOP, Mr. Jenkins should've been a cinch to win a Baton Rouge district in Republican hands for 34 years, and that President Bush won with 59% in 2004. Their candidate was a rock-solid social conservative who, in 28 statehouse years, had never voted for a tax increase, and who wanted to erect a U.S.-Mexico wall.

Yet Mr. Jenkins was also a divisive firebrand. He was infamous for carrying around plastic fetuses, to demonstrate his opposition to abortion. He'd previously landed in a weird entanglement with former Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke.

More debilitating to the Jenkins campaign was a strong whiff of the ethical problems that have plagued Republicans. A labor union ran ads noting Mr. Jenkins's had seen 19 tax liens filed against him and his broadcasting company since 1990. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee pointed out that a murky Jenkins charity had paid him consulting fees, paid rent to his company, and paid more than a half-a-million dollars to his wife.

Democrats, meanwhile, have realized it's more important to win than to impose liberal litmus tests on candidates. Mr. Jenkins's opponent, Don Cazayoux, was pro-life and pro-gun. He had nice things to say about John McCain, and rarely mentioned Mr. Obama or Hillary Clinton. A self-styled "John Breaux Democrat," he focused on education and health care.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: bluedogs; cazayoux; democrats; gop; la2008; lessons; louisiana; mccain; republicans; woodyjenkins
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The Democrats have determined to win a conservative seat they must be prolife, progun and little else. Conservatives, to lose a safe seat need only bash Obvama via Wright and alienate the Mexicans with building bigger and better fences.

This will be a tough year.

1 posted on 05/10/2008 8:42:34 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

McCain isn’t even either of those two.... very tough year indeed... and look around ya... it’s no one else’s fault.


2 posted on 05/10/2008 8:48:40 AM PDT by RachelFaith (Doing NOTHING... about the illegals already here IS Amnesty !!)
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To: shrinkermd
Republicans face tough odds, yes.
But that's because they've yet to prove they've learned a lesson...

Ding! You can stop reading right there.
We have the FR Quote of the Day.

3 posted on 05/10/2008 8:50:30 AM PDT by bill1952 (I will vote for McCain if he resigns his Senate seat before this election.)
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To: shrinkermd

To lose a safe seat we need only run more McCain clones.

I will not vote for McCain in November.


4 posted on 05/10/2008 8:53:04 AM PDT by stockpirate (20,000,000 reasons to NOT support McCain, immigration.)
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To: shrinkermd
"The Democrats have determined to win a conservative seat they must be prolife, progun and little else."

It worked in '06 in PA and it will continue to wipe out Republicans here, not that it matters much since the elected Republicans from W PA vote in lockstep with Murtha.

5 posted on 05/10/2008 8:59:27 AM PDT by penowa
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To: shrinkermd
Conservatives, to lose a safe seat need only bash Obvama via Wright and alienate the Mexicans with building bigger and better fences.

So you're saying that the Mexicans are voting?

I say that if you have a real conservative, less taxes, less government, pro-life, pro-gun, anti-illegal and pro-fence you have a shoo-in. Just don't count on the support of Washington and the national silk-stocking Republicans.

But you'll get plenty of local support from conservative, grass roots Republicans who will give you their time and money along with their vote.

There are scores of local and statewide races that are proof. Look at the number of "rats" that have switched parties in the South.

6 posted on 05/10/2008 9:02:54 AM PDT by johncatl (...governs least, governs best.)
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To: shrinkermd

The Louisiana Republican party is a joke. They have been losing a lot of elections by super large margins that they should have won or at least have been very competitive in. We got lucky with Jindhal, but that was in spite of the La. Republican party, not because of it.

Landrieu will get re-elected easily this year.


7 posted on 05/10/2008 9:03:37 AM PDT by murron (Proud Marine Mom)
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To: shrinkermd

Jenkins was the worst possible candidate for that seat and still nearly won the special election. If Republicans can find a decent candidate they can get that seat back in 2008. Same with Denny Hastert’s seat in Illinois.


8 posted on 05/10/2008 9:05:43 AM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Another non-bitter Pennsylvanian)
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To: stockpirate

40,000,000 reasons to vote for mccain...abortion


9 posted on 05/10/2008 9:16:16 AM PDT by brannon (we are all dying; some of us faster than others)
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To: shrinkermd

“Mr. Jenkins should’ve been a cinch to win a Baton Rouge district in Republican hands for 34 years, and that President Bush won with 59% in 2004”

What was the change in the voter makeup after Katrina? If this was once a safe Republican district, how did the influx of people from New Orleans affect it?


10 posted on 05/10/2008 9:20:56 AM PDT by smalltownslick (All)
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To: smalltownslick

It didn’t help plus the fact the Dems outspent Republicans 2 to 1.


11 posted on 05/10/2008 9:41:34 AM PDT by Atchafalaya
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To: Dems_R_Losers; murron

Well said, they leaders of the LA Republican party are not interested in anything but themselves.


12 posted on 05/10/2008 9:52:55 AM PDT by A Strict Constructionist (We have become an oligarchy not a Republic.)
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To: brannon

He will not be able to appoint conservative judges.

I do not trust he will appoint them.

His amnesty plan will destroy our coountry.

Republicans won’t be able to stop him from working with Socialists.

He hates conservatives, so what makes you believe he will apponit them to the SCOTUS?

When all is said and done 20,000,000 new Democrat voters will not let him appoint conservatives to the bench.

He worked FOR George Soros to pass McCain/Fiengold so conservatives would be handi-capped in running against him.

So, IMHO conservatives should send him no money and not cast a vote for him, unless he moves back to the right.

I know I will not vote for him at this point.

McCain is a Socialist piece of trash.


13 posted on 05/10/2008 9:57:45 AM PDT by stockpirate (20,000,000 reasons to NOT support McCain, immigration.)
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To: shrinkermd

One reason for this loss may have been a Katrina backlash against the GOP, which won’t carry into other states.

That said, we all need to work hard, donate lots, and fight long this Fall.


14 posted on 05/10/2008 10:23:21 AM PDT by BlueStateBlues (Blue State for business, Red State at heart..)
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To: smalltownslick
"What was the change in the voter makeup after Katrina? If this was once a safe Republican district, how did the influx of people from New Orleans affect it?"


From what Jack Wheeler says in his latest edition of To the Point News, this was a significant factor:

"First, though, a note on why Woody Jenkins lost his race for Congress in Louisiana. The Dems are trying to make a big deal out of this - a seat lost that the GOP has had since 1974 spells GOP disaster in November - but the reason is very simple: Katrina. Tens of thousands of blacks were flushed out of New Orleans' corrupt 9th Ward and settled in Baton Rouge, radically shifting the political demographics of the district. These new black residents dutifully voted en masse for the Dem, yet Woody still lost by less than 3,000 votes out of over 100,000 cast. So his loss portends nothing."
15 posted on 05/10/2008 1:08:10 PM PDT by rob777 (Personal Responsibility is the Price of Freedom)
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To: All

Richard Baker almost lost in 1998.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Baker_(politician)

After being unopposed in 1994 and 1996, Baker faced Marjorie McKeithen, daughter of longtime Republican Louisiana Secretary of State Fox McKeithen and granddaughter of former Democratic Governor John McKeithen. Court-ordered redistricting before the 1996 elections had drawn considerably more blacks into the district than Baker had previously represented. Amid a nationwide backlash against Republicans for what was seen as overzealous behavior during the impeachment of Bill Clinton, Baker just barely held onto his seat by about one thousand votes, narrowly avoiding a runoff.


16 posted on 05/10/2008 1:12:15 PM PDT by abb (Organized Journalism: Marxist-style collectivism applied to information sharing)
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To: shrinkermd
Its amazing. The Democrats are running conservatives and the best the GOP can offer for the national brand name is a RINO named John McCain? No wonder the party is in trouble.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 05/10/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: shrinkermd

‘More debilitating to the Jenkins campaign was a strong whiff of the ethical problems that have plagued Republicans. A labor union ran ads noting Mr. Jenkins’s had seen 19 tax liens filed against him and his broadcasting company since 1990. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee pointed out that a murky Jenkins charity had paid him consulting fees, paid rent to his company, and paid more than a half-a-million dollars to his wife.’

Democrats can’t lead but they can sure knock out Republican candidates with various real and bogus “ethics” violations.


18 posted on 05/10/2008 3:38:01 PM PDT by BeckB
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To: shrinkermd

The funny thing that the national media fail to point out is that they’re compromising their liberal banner with people like this (and Heath Shuler and Brad Ellsworth, etc, etc). That’s short-sighted of them because they’re keeping conservatives in Congress. That said, the GOP ran terrible candidates in both Jenkins and Oberweis.


19 posted on 05/10/2008 5:05:02 PM PDT by No Dems 2004 (No Dems in 2008 either)
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To: goldstategop

Correction. They’re running liberals pretending to be Conservatives. You cannot be a Conservative and vote for moonbat incompetence that the rodent leadership stands for.


20 posted on 05/10/2008 10:20:54 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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