In reality, there is NO WAY that the Dem delegates will dare elevate Obama as the nominee if Hillary leads in both the pop vote and the main battleground states, regardless of the "delegate math." So it will go to the courts . . . where Obama will move to block Hillary by citing . . .
Bush v. Gore. Suddenly, every liberal on the planet will be gushing about what a BRILLIANT decision Bush v. Gore was.
If the Democrat nominee selection comes down to the convention, do you think Obama will get Bill Ayers to build him some bombs?
That would be a fantastic scenario to watch.
Except a political party is a private club and Bush v Gore will not even entitle either the haloed one or Billary to a hearing in court.The parties, down to the state parties, make their own rules as to how delegates are alloted and no court is going to interfere in that reality.
I don’t think Obama can go to the courts; these are party nominating rules, not laws that govern a general election like Bush/Gore.
It will be a 50 50 split period. No advantage to either.
I’ll point out an interesting aspect of this FL & MI situation. The delegates, by the statements of the DNC...are disqualified from the “first round”. The DNC hasn’t said anything about the aspects of the second or third or fourth round of voting...if a winner isn’t declared on the first vote. You have to remember...the declared delegates are totally free after the first round to vote for anyone.
I’m suspecting that the super-delegates will abstain from the first round, on purpose. No winners declared in the first round.....so the DNC will smile and then invite the MI & FL delegates to vote for the second round. My guess is that half of the super-delegates will stand-down and abstain a second time...on purpose. By this point...some state delegations will start to deal.
I think Hillary could then pull off a win, and shock the Obama crowd greatly. Everyone would accept this scenario...and the DNC would get out of this mess.