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Forecast for big sea level rise
BBC News ^ | 15 April 2008 | Richard Black

Posted on 04/15/2008 6:25:11 PM PDT by Aristotelian

Sea levels could rise by up to one-and-a-half metres by the end of this century, according to a new scientific analysis.

This is substantially more than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) forecast in last year's landmark assessment of climate science.

Sea level rise of this magnitude would have major impacts on low-lying countries such as Bangladesh.

The findings were presented at a major science conference in Vienna.

(snip)

"The rapid rise in the coming years is associated with the rapid melting of ice sheets."

(snip)

The latest satellite data indicates that the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets are losing mass, though the much bigger East Antarctic sheet may be gaining mass.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.bbc.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw
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To: Aristotelian

Hmmmm....

Not deep enough to cover D.C. & California......


21 posted on 04/15/2008 7:04:01 PM PDT by G Larry (HILLARY CARE = DYING IN LINE!)
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To: BOBTHENAILER

Otisburg? Otisburg?! OTISBURG?!?


22 posted on 04/15/2008 7:04:27 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Pray for the peace of Jerusalem - Ps 122:6)
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To: Aristotelian
Sea levels could rise by up to one-and-a-half metres by the end of this century, according to a new scientific analysis. This is substantially more than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) forecast in last year's landmark assessment of climate science.

Do these guys even read what they write? If they do read it, do they understand what they have written?

The title of this piece is "Forecast for big sea level rise". However that headline completely misses the "shocker" buried in this article. We have all known about forecasts of the sea level rising, big time, for a long time. Al Gore was awarded a Nobel Prize for saying the same thing. That is simply not news. What is news and ought to be trumpeted as such by the media (but don't hold your breath waiting for it) is in the following suggested replacement headline:

Scientist Declares that IPCC Sea Level Rise Forecasts are Wrong.

Now, that's a headline that you don't see from the BBC, ever, yet that is the gist of the report covered in this article. The BBC's not-very-well-hidden agenda and narrative goes something like, "You see? This forecast is even more dire than the previous one, therefore the crisis is even worse than previously thought". However there's no basis for such a conclusion. Rather, what an open-minded reporter should conclude is that if you believe this forecast, then of necessity you must disbelieve the IPCC forecast. One forecast or the other (or both) must be wrong. So, rather than impelling governments and people to act with greater urgency, this should be interpreted as casting doubt on the forecasting methodology or data or theories (or all of the above) that went into producing the IPCC forecasts. The take-home message is that we need to proceed much more carefully and judiciously when setting policies based on forecasts whose accuracy and worth have neither been proven nor independently tested and verified...

23 posted on 04/15/2008 7:05:41 PM PDT by Zeppo (Every mighty mild... seventies child... Beats me (Metric - Combat Baby))
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To: Aristotelian
Forecast for big sea level rise

Excellent! I'll enjoy sitting on my porch watching the waves roll in 200 years from now...

24 posted on 04/15/2008 7:06:10 PM PDT by snarks_when_bored
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To: Tatze

No truer words, could be said.


25 posted on 04/15/2008 7:06:57 PM PDT by Boiler Plate ("Why be difficult, when with just a little more work, you can be impossible" Mom)
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To: Aristotelian

The BBC lost its objectivity long ago and is now one of the most persistent global warming evangelists.


26 posted on 04/15/2008 7:10:59 PM PDT by balls
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To: unkus
Glad I’m at 6800 ft.

For now... In 92 more years, you'll be at only 6795 feet, and THEN you'll be in trouble, mister!

27 posted on 04/15/2008 7:14:35 PM PDT by PugetSoundSoldier (Indignation over the sting of truth is the defense of the indefensible)
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To: Aristotelian
Image hosted by Photobucket.com

28 posted on 04/15/2008 7:15:42 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist ©®)
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To: Aristotelian
Sea level rise of this magnitude would have major impacts on low-lying countries such as Bangladesh.

Don't these third world idiots have enough sense to move back from the shore?

29 posted on 04/15/2008 7:15:49 PM PDT by Rudder (Klinton-Kool-Aid FReepers prefer spectacle over victory.)
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To: Aristotelian

So, if you put ice in a cup, then fill it with water, when the ice cubes melt, the cup will overflow?

I don’t think so.

What a bunch of morons.


30 posted on 04/15/2008 7:17:06 PM PDT by Little Ray (McCain, Obama, and Hillary: I HATE THEM ALL.)
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To: Aristotelian
There needs to be record taken of this thread. Bull warning:-()

Photobucket

31 posted on 04/15/2008 7:18:36 PM PDT by geo40xyz (McCain, Obama or Hillarybeast possibility of 4 Supreme Court Justices, Gore @UN. The WINNER is?)
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To: Aristotelian
Sea levels could rise by up to one-and-a-half metres by the end of this century, according to a new scientific analysis. This is substantially more than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) forecast in last year's landmark assessment of climate science.

LOL, that is funny. It was just a while back Al Gore was telling us the IPCC was predicting it was gonna rise 20 feet by the end of the century. Now that have 'raised' the forcast to 1.5 meters. Bull crap. It has been significantly lowered.

32 posted on 04/15/2008 7:23:35 PM PDT by Always Right (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: Aristotelian

Should make for some gnarly surfing, dude. Too bad I’ll be pushing 150.


33 posted on 04/15/2008 7:24:23 PM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: Little Ray
What a bunch of morons.

So true!

And, If the weight of ice on Antarctica, or Greenland were removed, the land itself also rises! It's as if these people think the Earth is not Dynamic, ever changing!

34 posted on 04/15/2008 7:27:48 PM PDT by urabus
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To: Aristotelian
Could, would, might, may. The hallmark of "climate change" reporting.

"There is some limited archaeological evidence [based on] the sill heights of fish enclosures that the Romans used, that's probably the strongest evidence that there hasn't been any significant change in sea level over the last 2,000 years."

Um...doesn't this COMPLETELY contrdict their study? The Medieval Warming Period was significantly warmer than it is today and somehow the world's coastlines were not inundated.

35 posted on 04/15/2008 7:43:14 PM PDT by denydenydeny (Expel the priest and you don't inaugurate the age of reason, you get the witch doctor--Paul Johnson)
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To: Aristotelian
"The rapid rise in the coming years is associated with the rapid melting of ice sheets."

If they were melting with sufficient rapidity. They are not. Both ice sheets are gaining in mass.
36 posted on 04/15/2008 7:48:33 PM PDT by aruanan
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To: unkus

You lucky son of a gun, you got sea front property.


37 posted on 04/15/2008 7:54:13 PM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (The women got the vote and the Nation got Harding.)
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To: denydenydeny

Go to this site for photos and measurements from 1841:
http://www.john-daly.com/ Of course we can’t prove that it won’t rise just because it hasn’t. But 1.5 meters would be extraordinary. Parts of Antarctica & Greenland are adding ice as other parts are losing it.


38 posted on 04/15/2008 7:55:38 PM PDT by Sicvee (Sicvee)
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To: Aristotelian

I’ll make sure I leave a boat for my kids in my will.


39 posted on 04/15/2008 7:56:08 PM PDT by athlete
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To: Rudder

Bangladesh is low lying and already suffers terribly from periodic flooding. All 100 million Bangladeshis would be delighted to move to California, given the opportunity.


40 posted on 04/15/2008 7:57:17 PM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (The women got the vote and the Nation got Harding.)
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