Posted on 04/06/2008 5:27:32 PM PDT by dvan
Global Warming: Computer models used by environmentalists predict imminent and disastrous climate change. But actual temperature measurements by high-tech equipment show something completely different.
An early scene in the sci-fi disaster flick "The Day After Tomorrow," showing what allegedly will happen to the planet if we continue to ignore Al Gore's warnings on global warming, shows three of the film's secondary characters at some kind of scientific station in Scotland.
They're watching as automated data buoys in the Atlantic Ocean report sudden drops in water temperature resulting from melting Arctic ice stopping the Gulf Stream, which warms the Northern Hemisphere.
"I don't understand what's supposed to be going on," says one of the three, an oceanographer.
Apparently neither do the film's creators, Gore or any of his climate-change cultists. For actual measurements of actual oceans by actual instruments have thrown cold water on the theory that such a scenario could ever occur or is in fact occurring now.
As Lorne Gunter reported Monday in Canada's National Post, the first of 3,000 new automated ocean buoys were deployed in 2003. They amounted to a significant improvement over earlier buoys that took their measurements mostly at the ocean's surface.
The new buoys, known as Argos, drift along the oceans at a depth of about 6,000 feet constantly monitoring the temperature, salinity and speed of ocean currents. Every 10 days or so a bladder inflates, bringing to the surface readings taken at various depths.
Once on the surface, they transmit their readings to satellites that retransmit them to land-based computers. The Argos buoys have disappointed the global warm-mongers in that they have failed to detect any signs of imminent climate change. As Dr. Josh Willis, who works for NASA in its Jet Propulsion Laboratory, noted in an interview with National Public Radio, "there has been a very slight cooling" over the buoys' five years of observation, but that drop was "not anything really significant." Certainly not enough to shut down the Gulf Stream.
Climate-change promoters also are perplexed by the observations of NASA's eight weather satellites. In contrast to some 7,000 land-based stations, they take more than 300,000 temperature readings daily over the surface of the Earth. In 30 years of operation, the satellites have recorded a warming trend of just 0.14C well within the range of normal variations.
In January 2007, folks at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration trumpeted the "fact" that 2006 was the warmest year ever recorded in the continental U.S. This was based on daily readings gathered by NOAA's climate data center and the 1,221 or so weather observation stations it monitors around the country.
As we've reported, the locations of some of these land-based stations are suspect. One in Forest Grove, Ore., stands just 10 feet from an air-conditioning exhaust vent. Another in Roseburg, Ore., is on a rooftop near an air-conditioning unit. In Tahoe, Calif., one is near a drum where trash is burned.
If the Argos buoys and satellites had confirmed the greenie computer models and Gore hype instead of natural temperature variations, it would have been big news. The silence speaks volumes.
I am making this information available to all the local public schools in my county, I urge other concerned parents to do the same.
Haven’t you heard? “end of discussion! It is a done deal.”
Now get ready for lots of CO2 taxes, fees, and fines. After all, we have to head off this disaster. Otherwise, we are all going to die.
How about a link?
And getting these taxes in place is becoming more and more urgent everyday. If these taxes are not in place before the whole theory is exposed as a complete fraud, the taxes may never come into existence, and the UN will have to find a new reason to establish global governance. And that is the real tragedy they want to avoid and why their screams are getting louder and louder.
Outstanding!
The sun spot activity has already “ceased”. Solar cycle 24 is late in getting started. The cooling has begun.
The sun spot activity has already ceased. Solar cycle 24 is late in getting started.
Something that the GW alarmists didn’t take into account.
I don’t care - I’m putting my faith in Al Gore to save me from the weather. I don’t know how he’s going to do it, but I’m sure he’ll figure out a way. I mean if he can show up in dressed all in black like them Hollywood fellers, and if he can make one of them moving pictures, then I’m sure he can figger out a way to keep the weather in check.
Funny thing, I was ordering a plane ticket and when I got to the end, they asked me if I wanted to purchase a ‘carbon offset’ for $1.25......what the heck is $1.25 gonna buy that will offset a flight from Indy to LA???? Nutty environmentalist whackos.
When I was a graduate student at the University of Colorado, I was one of many “slave labor” researchers feeding data to the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research as well as the National Center for Atmospheric Research. Stephen Schneider held sway at NCAR back then and he had a new toy: a supercomputer and a brand new Global Circulation Model (GCM). The data and the model back in those halcyion days pointed to a New Ice Age, something geologists (as I was)was most likely to conform to the geologic record.
One big problem with the GCM was that data for the circulation of the ocean currents was woefully incomplete. Data collection had largely ended when steam powered ships replaced sailing vessels. Hydrographic surveys were critically important in the Age of Sail, but lost military and commericial importance upon arrival of steam powered vessels. The GCM’s used data largely collected before 1860. No matter, the model produced the result that everyone wanted: A new ice age was imminent.
Upon the collapse of Communism, the lunatic left needed a refuge. They found it in the Environmental movement, but the GCM and the climate predictors were out of phase with a theory that the leftists needed to advance their cause. No problem, just tweak the data and get the result needed by the new cult. Global warming is a cult. Facts do not matter, and this new information on what is actually happening in our oceans will have no effect on the cultists.
Well, that's why I provided the link, because that's how I heard it as well. However, in digging a bit, I saw it quoted the way I cited it here, figuring my professor was exaggerating. However, given that the link is to some kind of enviro site, I should have double checked them.
Here is how my least favorite source (all websites are wrong, some are useful) has it:
Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
I like your one-sentence summary. It's taken me more sentences than that to try to explain models to associates, who always seem to think that model-builders are proferring Black Boxes and Prophecies. I always wind up saying, "It's a picture" or, "It's a map, not reality," or "It's a logical proposition of expected outcomes based on certain assumptions...."
Quants are fixin' to tried as witches here...
Yup! Nice to see another person not being suckered by the con job. Wish there were more.
A silver lining....
Bad time to be asking for a new tax or fee.
Gas and food prices going up. Jobs being outsourced, wages dropping. Not very popular.
Or the lies will have to get bigger and bigger.
ping for future reference
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