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Does Clinton want Obama to lose?
The New Republic ^ | 03/24/08 | Jonathan Chait

Posted on 03/25/2008 8:48:48 AM PDT by CondiRice08

Last week, the Atlantic's Matthew Yglesias suggested that Hillary Clinton may want Barack Obama to lose the general election. The Washington Monthly's Kevin Drum, an Obama supporter who often defends Clinton, replies, "she's not rooting for John McCain and she's not secretly plotting Barack Obama's downfall."

Who's right?

Obviously, it's impossible to know for sure either way, since it's a question of motive. I think Clinton's political interests clearly militate toward a harsh campaign against Obama. Her only chance of winning is to disqualify him as a general election candidate, giving the superdelegates no chance but to contravene the elected delegates, which they are otherwise reluctant to do. This also serves her interests because if Obama loses, she would be the front-runner in 2012. (Drum asserts, "It's either 2008 or nothing for Hillary," but he doesn't say why, and the assertion seems wrong on it's face -- she won't be too old in 2012, her Democratic fanbase wil remain intact, and her interest in the presidency will presumably be undiminished.)

Now, is Clinton actively thinking along these lines? Like I said, you can't know. Even if she's thinking in selfless terms, I'm not certain she would regard a John McCain victory over Obama as a total disaster. Senators tend to be very clubby and place enormous weight on paying dues. Clinton is said to consider Obama unworthy of the presidency, and indeed has said that McCain is ready to be commander-in-chief and he is not. She may not think a McCain presidency would be much worse for the country than an Obama presidency. I definitely suspect her chief strategist, Mark Penn, would prefer a McCain presidency. Penn is right-of-center on foreign policy and economics. His loyalty to liberalism is extremely tenuous.

But this is speculation. An easier question to answer is, How much does Clinton value her own interests versus those of the Democratic Party? And here the answer is very clear: Clinton is acting as if she doesn't care about the Democratic Party's interests at all, except insofar as they coincide with her own. Her continued campaign is significantly damaging Obama's general election prospects, and this would perhaps be defensible if she had a strong chance at the nomination, but she doesn't. As Politico recently reported, "One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives."

To inflict serious damage on the likely nominee in order to pursue a one-in-ten chance of securing the nomination is, ipso facto, an act of extreme selfishness. Whether she sees the damage to Obama's prospects as a feature or a bug is interesting but beside the point.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; chait; hillary; obama
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To: CondiRice08
Does Clinton want Obama to lose?

Well, of course. . .she's running against him.

Oh, the general election? Um, well since Obamie hasn't gotten the nomination yet, that question seems a bit premature.

21 posted on 03/25/2008 10:08:52 AM PDT by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.)
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To: icwhatudo

Exactly. Hillary wants the winner this year to be either herself or McCain. She knows her shelf life is limited already, plus her hunger for power is far too great to wait 8 years. She also knows that Americans are showing a tendency to fatigue of any one party holding the Presidency for more than 8 years, so a run in 2016 after 2 theoretical Obama administrations would be an even tougher challenge for her.


22 posted on 03/25/2008 10:11:30 AM PDT by SlapHappyPappy
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To: mainerforglobalwarming

“...he’s a fading rock star hoping to cut it on the oldies circuit.”

Ping!


23 posted on 03/25/2008 10:18:27 AM PDT by littlehouse36 (Liberation Theology = Victimology)
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To: Phantom Lord

“Accept the VP spot and have Obama whacked.”

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

I really believe this would be her preferred way of handling the situation but she probably has been told that there is no way Obama would run with her as VP, could he really be THAT stupid? So if she cannot win the nomination she will see to it that McCain wins the general election.


24 posted on 03/25/2008 10:25:37 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Does anyone still believe this is a free country?)
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To: montag813

“The man is so insubstantial it is laughable.”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

So is Hitlery but it is not truly laughable, it is truly frightening to realize that the American electorate includes so many eligible voters who have tapioca pudding where there brain should be.


25 posted on 03/25/2008 10:28:01 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Does anyone still believe this is a free country?)
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To: T. Buzzard Trueblood
I may be hallucinating, but isn't Jonathan Chait one of those longtime Clinton butt-kissers who recently came to the reluctant conclusion (in print, that is) that "the Right" has been right all along about the Clintons' sleaze and corruption?

Usually, if they acknowledge that "the Right" was right at all, it is done only when it's too late to have any meaningful impact on politics and policies (for example, the 1993 "Dan Quayle was Right" cover story headline in The Atlantic, which of course only appeared in print after Bill Clinton was safely elected, was done only for its ability to shock and disgruntle its overwhelmingly liberal readership, rather than printing it at a time when it would have truly been a Sister Souljah moment for the magazine and would have given "cover" to Democrat legislators to do the right thing for a change). At least some of them are seeing the light and saying such things openly now for a change, albeit in comments that are usually heavily larded with rhetoric about "the Right" still being the worst of the worst...

26 posted on 03/25/2008 10:57:40 AM PDT by The Electrician ("Government is the only enterprise in the world which expands in size when its failures increase.")
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