Rumor also has it that he had a suitcase full of Kool-Aid...
Posted on 03/24/2008 2:58:35 PM PDT by poinq
The 'Bradley Effect' is Back? Gallup's national tracking poll has Obama retaking the lead over Hillary after bottoming out on the day of his big race speech. Rasmussen's robo-poll, on the other hand, shows Obama losing ground since last Tuesday. True, even Rasmussen doesn't seem to be putting a lot of emphasis on his survey's 6-point shift. But isn't this week's primary race exactly the sort of environment--i.e.., the issue of race is in the air--when robo-polling is supposed to have an advantage over the conventional human telephone polling used by Gallup? Voters wary of looking like bigots to a live operator--'and why didn't you like Obama's plea for mutual for understanding that all the editorial pages liked?'--might lie about their opinions, a phenomenon known as the Bradley Effect. But they might be more willing to tell the truth to a machine. ...
P.S.: I take no position on this issue. I say wait for Pennsylvania. I've previously argued that the robo-pollers' truth-divining advantage might well have disappeared because, with all the computers now tracking expenditures and generating credit ratings, etc.--people are scared to tell the truth to machines too. But this theory was dismissed by Pollster.com's Mark Blumenthal as lacking "supportive evidence." Picky! But maybe Blumenthal's right, in which case Obama should be worried. ...
P.P.S.: Of course, the 'Bradley Effect' could be inflating Obama's numbers in both the Gallup and Rasmussen polls to at least some extent, in which case Obama should be very worried. ...
Backfill: Blumenthal posted on another bad-for-Barack robo-poll (Survey USA) on Friday
(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...
A reliable source revealed today; Obama is traveling to Guyana South America this week to access a real estate offer on a large clearing in the jungle.
Rumor also has it that he had a suitcase full of Kool-Aid...
The Gallup/Rasmussen dip last week was really more of a dead-cat bounce in reverse, with Cankles simply the beneficiary of (finally) some bad news on Obama. But it's not like she rode any sort of phony "Operation Crisis" wave -- Obama is still going to win NC, IL, IN, and possibly two more. The DUmmie race is over. Right now.
Furthermore, Bill Bradley, an Obama supporter, looked like death warmed over on Fox about two weeks ago, but still was fairly well-spoken (for a mis-guided Lib who would have made a nice, folksy asset to our side had he ever once read the writing on the wall).
And the money is coming from?????
Obama is running a tremendous number of t.v. and radio ads in Pennsylvania now. Hillary is turning up at the campuses of various universities across the state. I was thinking of traveling to one about 40 miles from my home where she’s going to appear tomorrow, but I think I’ll clean out my refrigerator and put Sani-flush in the toilet instead.
Ugh, I quit watching TV and listening to terrestial radio as much as I could during that period. Good luck in the coming weeks!
terrestrial....ah, you know....
Different Bradley. The Bradley effect refers to the Los Angeles mayor not the New Jersey Senator.
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