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China set for 30 years more years of fast growth: World Bank's Li
AP ^ | 3/6/2008

Posted on 03/06/2008 11:15:46 PM PST by steelboy

China's economy will keep growing fast for up to 30 more years thanks to its vast domestic market and foreign investment, incoming World Bank chief economist Justin Lin Yifu said Friday.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; chinaseconomy

1 posted on 03/06/2008 11:15:46 PM PST by steelboy
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To: steelboy
The big assumption is, “If the current trend holds.”
2 posted on 03/06/2008 11:24:11 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: steelboy

the housing boom will never end ... Japan will own 94% of America by 1996, The Soviet Union will continue to exist into the 2200s or so according to Arthur C. Clark.

When the china bubble bursts I’ll be highly amused.


3 posted on 03/06/2008 11:24:31 PM PST by utherdoul
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To: utherdoul
We are not even sure if China will exist in current form 30 years from now.
4 posted on 03/06/2008 11:25:27 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: steelboy

Well that’s a sure sign there’s not much time left...


5 posted on 03/06/2008 11:26:34 PM PST by DB
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Ceteris paribus as they say in Latin. Well I hope we all will be around to see this “great” country “grown up” in 30 years :)


6 posted on 03/06/2008 11:28:51 PM PST by MimirsWell
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To: utherdoul
"When the china bubble bursts I’ll be highly amused."

...that Chinese bubble of investments in American imports from China? I'll be amused, when that breaks, too! ;-)
7 posted on 03/06/2008 11:30:57 PM PST by familyop (cbt. engr. (cbt), '89-'96, Duncan Hunter or no-vote)
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To: steelboy

10, 20 _or_ 30 years? That’s a hell of a lot of wiggle room. Given that “fast” economic growth is often described in the 5% range, I’m sure it’s likely China will be capable of years of growth that fast in 20 years time. That’s not out of line with studies, some of which have found China would eventually overtake U.S. GDP, others that have found China would pull to peer range but lose its high-growth period by that point. Much of China’s growth for even the most optimistic GDP projections, by the way, comes from currency revaluation, with a dramatic rise of the yuan against the dollar resulting in an aggregate GDP that grows far more rapidly than “annual GDP growth” would otherwise indicate. Be careful what you wish for on that note.


8 posted on 03/06/2008 11:34:40 PM PST by Sandreckoner
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To: steelboy

Yes, and the Third Reich would hold for a thousand years.


9 posted on 03/07/2008 12:01:56 AM PST by eclecticEel (oh well, Hunter 2012 anyone?)
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To: steelboy

Can China’s economy grow without the US economy pulling it?


10 posted on 03/07/2008 2:37:17 AM PST by Jabba the Nutt (Just laugh at them!)
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To: Jabba the Nutt
Can China’s economy grow without the US economy pulling it?

Excellent question. Better yet, can they sustain this growth and de-peg the yuan from the dollar?
Just because they're printing a lot of currency doesn't mean they're 'growing'.
11 posted on 03/07/2008 4:30:04 AM PST by dyed_in_the_wool ("O you who believe! do not take the Jews and the Christians for friends" - Koran 5.51)
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To: steelboy

And what, in the history of the World Bank, indicates they have anything remotely resembling economic acumen?


12 posted on 03/07/2008 9:08:07 AM PST by SlapHappyPappy
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