If you guys think all this “chaos” is doing anything else but helping the democrats, look no further than what Karl Rove said yesterday on H&C. All this does is spell more money and publicity for the Dems. Dems have bottomless pockets when it comes to Obama. Meanwhile, most Republicans feel at best lukewarm about McCain. McCain will get little $$ and ZERO press time this summer, and the Dems are loving it.
ROVE: Well, look, there are three scenarios for this, and the one that most people hang on is that they think the Democrats are going to be ill-served by this process. They are going to get to the convention. They will be exhausted. They will blood each other. They will have bloodied each other up, and it will be ugly.
Now, I admit that’s the conventional wisdom, and it might be true. But let me suggest there are two other alternatives. One alternative is that they go to the convention, and they have a close contest; at the convention it is resolved, and one candidate wins, and they get an enormous burst of positive publicity, particularly if it’s Obama who comes out of that situation. And as a result, they end August on this very high note and really drown out the Republican convention that comes the week following.
The third scenario is that they continue to battle until the convention or maybe not all the way to the convention but close to the convention, and as they battle, in essence, they’re marginalizing McCain, who gets little of the attention. If you look at the coverage of the last week, for example, there have been a lot more column inches and a lot more time on the evening news that have been devoted to the Democratic contest than to McCain or the Republican contest.
Rove is tough to read sometimes, but he may be doing a little politicking there.
Regardless, I mostly disagree with his conjectures about possible “scenarios”.
FRegards,
LH