Election 2008: New Jersey Senate

Rasmussen Reports ^ | March 3, 2008

[Clintonfatigued]

“The dead get to vote in New Jersey. Don’t they deserve senate representation also?”

LOL

[ExTexasRedhead]

Perhaps Vince Foster could be their nominee.

[BillyBoy]

Joe Pennacchio definitely seems like a rising star in the party if he can pull off a competative race here... it's a damn shame he's stuck running in a state where the odds are so overwhemingly stacked against him. If we had 49 other "Jersey Joe" types around the country that had the ablity to speak to the average voter in their states, we'd end up with a veto-proof GOP majority in no time. I think the Dems are far better than us at this game and that's why they manage to elect far-left socialist Governors and Senators in states that are normally safe Republican.

What worries me is we could potentially have a sitution like the gubernatoral race where Steve Lonegan and Bret Schundler split the conservative vote and the RINO "moderate" pushed by the party bigwings got nominated and promptly lost to the Dems. Now we have Jersey Joe and Murray Sabin both running as unashamed pro-life, pro-gun, pro-family, pro-cutting spending, pro-cutting taxes, pro-freedom, anti-corruption conservatives, and critizing Estabrook for her RINO beliefs. If they draw from the same the anti-Estabrook/anti-RINO establishment voter base, Estabrook will win the nomination with a minority of votes.

Don't underestimate Sabrin's appeal. Lonegan got only 8%, Sabrin will probably get at least 10%, just enough to deny Jersey Joe the nomination. He's got good name ID from his previous runs (I remember his memorial speeches as the pro-life LP candidate trying to push his party rightward), and even though he's cozy with Ron Paul & his movement, Sabrin doesn't come across as a kook. Nevertheless, he has no shot at defeating the Dem in November. Jersey Joe is the only one who has a clue how to appeal to the typical New Jersey family.

We need to unite behind Joe and see if we can get this guy groomed for future office.

[justiceseeker93]

I can't believe that Lautenberg at his age would be running for reelection.

These polling numbers are not good for an incumbent, considering his name recognition advantage. Undecideds tend to break in the direction of the challenger vs. the incumbent.

But the NJ 'Rats needn't worry. If a few weeks before the election Lautenberg seems to be in big trouble, they'll find someone to replace him on the ballot - regardless of the state law. That's exactly what they did when they replaced the scandal-ridden Toricelli with Lautenberg himself several years ago. And that's why Lautenberg is the incumbent today.

[Coleus]

Lautenberg can die, and would still win the election. >>

didn’t that happen in Missouri?

[Clemenza]

Correct. John Ashcroft lost to Mel Carnahan, after the latter died in a plane crash.

[societygirl]

Laut is UNDER 50% in all of these polls. Usually the kiss of death for an incumbent.