I disagree. The last two elections have proven, if nothing else, that the country is split down the middle and the margins of victory for any candidate are slim. Obama will run as the anti-war candidate, and I think the appeal of that is vastly underestimated by the people on this forum, which is something of an echo chamber. If we had found WMD in Iraq it’d be different, but we didn’t. Ask any five people at random about Iraq and you aren’t going to hear “Let’s stay 100 years” from any of them. The Dems and the media will paint McCain as an old, out of touch, intemperate hotheaded warmonger, and that alone will get the youth and the base of the Dem party to the polls.
“Obama will run as the anti-war candidate, and I think the appeal of that is vastly underestimated by the people on this forum,”
I agree with you that most people are tired of the war. I saw a poll recently though that showed domestic issues were the main concern this election. You could absolutely be correct that Obamas anti-war stance could push him to the top. Except i don’t think he can pull off what he’s promising, and I expect McCain to ambush him. As soon as Obama has to take a solid position he will start to lose supporters. JMHO, and I’m not trying to start a flame war but it seems Obama is trying the same thing GWB did. He tried to bring everybody together, and be all things to all groups, and he actually had some success at first, but it’s impossible to hold, and I think Obamas followers are more volatile than the conservatives are.
I agree, the amount of anti-War, anti-Bushism in this country is huge. I think too many people on FR are totally unaware of it.