“Obama will run as the anti-war candidate, and I think the appeal of that is vastly underestimated by the people on this forum,”
I agree with you that most people are tired of the war. I saw a poll recently though that showed domestic issues were the main concern this election. You could absolutely be correct that Obamas anti-war stance could push him to the top. Except i don’t think he can pull off what he’s promising, and I expect McCain to ambush him. As soon as Obama has to take a solid position he will start to lose supporters. JMHO, and I’m not trying to start a flame war but it seems Obama is trying the same thing GWB did. He tried to bring everybody together, and be all things to all groups, and he actually had some success at first, but it’s impossible to hold, and I think Obamas followers are more volatile than the conservatives are.
No flame wars here. We’re both prognosticating, and your guess is as good as mine. It’s true that the youth vote usually doesn’t show up at the polls and the elderly vote does. That could make the difference, although, so far, the youth vote is showing up in the primaries.
This election is going to break new ground on a lot of fronts. It’ll be the first minority, either black or female, vs. the first Republican trying to win without the full suppport of his base. Nobody knows how that’s going to play out.