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Rurudyne's Daily Global Cooling Watch
Brits at their Best ^
| January 31, 2008
| unattributed
Posted on 02/13/2008 7:53:28 AM PST by Rurudyne
Sun's low magnetic activity may portend an ice age
The Canadian Space Agencys radio telescope has been reporting Flux Density Values so low they will mean a mini ice age if they continue.
Like the number of sunspots, the Flux Density Values reflect the Suns magnetic activity, which affects the rate at which the Sun radiates energy and warmth. CSA project director Ken Tapping calls the radio telescope that supplies NASA and the rest of the world with daily values of the Suns magnetic activity a stethoscope on the Sun. In this case, however, it is the doctor whose health is directly affected by the readings.
This is because when the magnetic activity is low, the Sun is dimmer, and puts out less radiant warmth. If the Sun goes into dim mode, as it has in the past, the Earth gets much colder.
Tapping, who was originally from Kent, says that Typically as you go through the ten or eleven year solar activity cycle you see the numbers go up or down. The lowest number is 64 or 68. The numbers 71 or 72 are very low, but they usually start to go up. We are at the end of a cycle, but the numbers still havent gone up. We have been joking around coffee that we may be seeing the Sun about to shut down. (To date Tapping has been far more concerned about global warming.)
Here is the link to the latest flux report: http://www.drao-ofr.hia-iha.nrc-cnrc.gc.ca/icarus/www/current_flux.shtml
(Excerpt) Read more at britsattheirbest.com ...
TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; climatechange; globalcooling; globalwarming; kyoto; regulation; solar
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To: Rurudyne
The Uneventful Horizon: Day 203 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Thursday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:07:24
Julian Day Number : 2454672.322
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.657
Observed Flux Density : 0065.4
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.5
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0060.7
Reference Post #120
381
posted on
07/24/2008 5:26:39 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Alamo-Girl; AnAmericanMother; arthurus; ASA Vet; BIGLOOK; BraveMan; Carry_Okie; chpmass; cob201; ...
The Uneventful Horizon: Day 204 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Friday Super Ping Returns
As always, if anyone wants on or off this ping list, please contact me and I will be happy to comply. Thanks.
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:07:25
Julian Day Number : 2454673.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.698
Observed Flux Density : 0066.2
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.3
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.5
The Sun seems to be in park.
Reference Post #120 for discussion.
382
posted on
07/25/2008 9:02:37 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
Not a spot to be seen.....
383
posted on
07/25/2008 9:17:20 PM PDT
by
Kozak
(Anti Shahada: There is no god named Allah, and Muhammed is a false prophet)
To: Rurudyne
Always with the negative waves, Rurudyne.
384
posted on
07/25/2008 9:22:52 PM PDT
by
TigersEye
(Drill or get off the Hill. ... call Nancy Pelosi @ 202 - 225 - 0100)
To: TigersEye
Well, I think there IS something proactive we could be doing.
It’s just ... my Congressman laughs everytime I tell him NASA should send lawyers to serve papers on old Sol. LOTS of lawyers.
385
posted on
07/26/2008 8:46:55 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
386
posted on
07/26/2008 9:21:46 AM PDT
by
GOPJ
To: Rurudyne
387
posted on
07/26/2008 11:15:20 AM PDT
by
TigersEye
(Drill or get off the Hill. ... call Nancy Pelosi @ 202 - 225 - 0100)
To: Rurudyne
The Uneventful Horizon: The Gore-Hansen Minimum
Saturday's Values
Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:07:26
Julian Day Number : 2454674.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.725
Observed Flux Density : 0065.1
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.1
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0060.4
Sunday's Values
Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:07:27
Julian Day Number : 2454675.322
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.767
Observed Flux Density : 0066.3
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.4
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.5
Reference Post #120 for discussion.
388
posted on
07/27/2008 2:40:44 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
The Uneventful Horizon: Day 207 of the Gore-Hansent Minimum
Tuesday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:07:28
Julian Day Number : 2454676.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.808
Observed Flux Density : 0066.4
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.5
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.6
Reference Post #120 for discussion.
389
posted on
07/29/2008 5:36:42 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
To: Rurudyne
The Uneventful Horizon: Day 208 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Wednesday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:07:29
Julian Day Number : 2454677.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2072.844
Observed Flux Density : 0065.9
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.9
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.1
Reference post #120 for discussion
391
posted on
07/30/2008 6:56:10 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
For the last several days the observatory’s web site has been giving those 404 errors.
I’ll keep checking.
392
posted on
08/02/2008 8:40:34 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
To: I got the rope
Well, yesterday the 404 errors stopped.
Now they want you to log in ... as if the data may not be quite for public consumption now that people are actually paying attention.
394
posted on
08/16/2008 6:47:58 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
To: I got the rope
Actually, I just found an alternate source: http://www.spaceweather.ca/latestflux_e.php
Yesterday’s readings were:
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:08:18
Julian Day Number : 2454697.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2073.578
Observed Flux Density : 0066.2
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.8
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.0
396
posted on
08/19/2008 7:18:20 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
Cool. What day does that make this one?
To: I got the rope
Day 227 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:08:19
Julian Day Number : 2454698.322
Carrington Rotation Number : 2073.610
Observed Flux Density : 0067.3
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.9
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.0
398
posted on
08/19/2008 3:47:10 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
Day 228 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:08:20
Julian Day Number : 2454699.447
Carrington Rotation Number : 2073.651
Observed Flux Density : 0065.7
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0067.2
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0060.5
Reference Post #120 for discussion.
399
posted on
08/21/2008 8:32:51 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Alamo-Girl; AnAmericanMother; arthurus; ASA Vet; BIGLOOK; BraveMan; Carry_Okie; chpmass; cob201; ...
A word about the duration of the Gore-Hansen Minimum.
First off, the day count was based the appearance of a Cycle 24 sunspot THAT MAY HAVE NEVER BEEN (it was not facing the Earth and it’s “detection” was by indirect means that are not accurate).
With that in mind, I’m bringing up the following data:
The current solar cycle, SC23, has been officially in progress since May of 1996 - or 147 months. The average length of solar cycles for the last 2 centuries is 133 months, so SC23 has been going on for 15 months LONGER than average (roughly 450 days).
However, each of the 5 previous cycles (SC18 to SC22) averaged only 125 months
There is a strong correlation between the length of solar cycles and global temperatures that I’ve heard expressed as “A cycle that is 4 months longer can be expected to yield a temperature lower by 0.1C .” Conversely, a shorter cycle correlates to global warming.
If you consider this correlation, you would expect a drop in global temperatures relative to the mean: not quite a .4C drop in mean temperature as things drag out.
This last is less than the observed drop in temperatures so the correlation may need adjustment or the relationship may be non-linear due to inherent time lag in the system (mainly because of the oceans).
In other words, both global warming and cooling may be predicted without considering the greenhouse effect as the principal cause.
Also, technically I could start saying that the Gore-Hansen Minimum is more than 450 days old ... if I wanted to.
My thanks to AFPhys for the heads up.
He posted a link to some discussion here: http://www.tmgnow.com/repository/solar/lassen1.html
400
posted on
08/21/2008 8:52:19 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
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