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Rurudyne's Daily Global Cooling Watch
Brits at their Best ^
| January 31, 2008
| unattributed
Posted on 02/13/2008 7:53:28 AM PST by Rurudyne
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To: Rurudyne
RATS!!! I just noticed the typos on and around my own graph in that post. It was cutting and pasting and got careless ... the last edit you do is one edit too few....
121
posted on
03/08/2008 12:36:51 PM PST
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
It's amazing... we've discovered what controls sunspots...
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide on Earth!
122
posted on
03/08/2008 1:12:59 PM PST
by
Swordmaker
(There ain't no such thing as a free app...)
To: Rurudyne
The usual length of time from a Maximum to a Minimum is 33 months +/- 5 months. Since SC23 reached its maximum in January of 2004 it has been almost 50 months and SC24 is still sputtering.Are you sure about that. It looks like the SC 23 max was hit in 2000.
To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
I was basing that on something I found a while back while poking around and I think it must refer to the ‘end of a maximum’ rather than the occurrence of absolute maximum observed (i.e. some portion of the top of the curve). Otherwise the numbers don’t add up since 28-38 months is not half of 11 years (the nominal length of a solar cycle).
I really wish I could find the reference again to at least reference it, but when I first made note of it in a thread (not this one) I didn’t keep a link. My bad.
124
posted on
03/08/2008 2:55:27 PM PST
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Swordmaker
I thought it was hot air from socialist that controls atmospheric CO2. .^
125
posted on
03/08/2008 2:57:17 PM PST
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
I thought it was hot air from socialist that controls atmospheric CO2. .^ That's secondary... tertiary is the Socialist desire for global power... primary is the CO2...
126
posted on
03/08/2008 3:42:02 PM PST
by
Swordmaker
(There ain't no such thing as a free app...)
To: Lazamataz
We're all gonna die!!!! Aw man!
And I just got my hair done.
127
posted on
03/08/2008 3:45:56 PM PST
by
Harmless Teddy Bear
(A good marriage is like a casserole, only those responsible for it really know what goes into it.)
To: Lazamataz
We're all gonna die!!!!
Just so long as we don't all fry, I'm good to go.
I like the cold.
128
posted on
03/08/2008 4:32:47 PM PST
by
Dr.Zoidberg
(Mohammedanism - Bringing you only the best of the 6th century for fourteen hundred years.)
To: Rurudyne
Keep up the good work. I enjoy reading your updates.
129
posted on
03/08/2008 4:42:56 PM PST
by
Rocky
To: Rurudyne
This is an anomaly with a large magnitude, and it coincides with other anecdotal weather evidence. It is curious, it is unusual, it is large, it is unexpected... Isn't it safe to assume that if it's the sun - and it probably is, that statistically it's unlikely we're at an extreme end - and it's more likely this is a normal but someone expansive pattern?
130
posted on
03/08/2008 9:18:47 PM PST
by
GOPJ
(A baby can't say Chinese additives makes the formula taste “funny" .. or poisonous,)
To: GOPJ
You are spot on right when you write:
"Isn't it safe to assume that if it's the sun - and it probably is, that statistically it's unlikely we're at an extreme end - and it's more likely this is a normal but someone expansive pattern?"
It often seems like even climatologist think that all the sun ever does is this 11 year roller coaster ride; however, there is data to support longer solar cycles than the 11 year one, which is to say underlaying patterns in solar activity.
If you go to that last link which leads to the "The RC Theory: SSRC Research Report 1-2008" you will see what I mean. The potential existence of 100 or 200 year cycles for the sun is now the basis for that article's prediction that this solar cycle, SC24, will be the start of a new Dalton Minimum kind of event. Even NASA, which is sold out for consensus science, seems to be taking the position that SC25 will be the start of a minimum lasting several decades.
Just as an aside, I've repeated in this thread that a flux value of 64-68 is as low as things get; however, that is not necessarily true. It is as low as has been measured in the roughly 60 years that these particular measurements have been taken. But that does not mean that the sun cannot go LOWER than a value of 64-68 since no sunspots is no sunspots no matter if the flux value is 68 or 50. If it can get lower, and if there is some form of stellar hibernation as NASA speaks of where it might get lower, and it does, then it should be a VERY BAD thing for us.
Either way, Mr.Watts corrective statement which I included for the sake of good form looks a bit like timidity ... as if he doesn't want to be seen as categorically saying that AGW is naught but hot air (which is the logical inference from that one BLOG post of his).
Another aside, I wish "blockquote" would actually put a box around the quote like other forums do.
131
posted on
03/08/2008 9:57:45 PM PST
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne; Landru; Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Heads up! Rurudyne has discovered something:
"There is a strong link between both sunspot activity and the sun's magnetic flux as to how brightly it shines and how much meat it generates."
8^/
132
posted on
03/08/2008 10:06:41 PM PST
by
FBD
(My carbon footprint is bigger then yours)
To: Rurudyne
This period of solar inactivity also corresponds to a climatic period called the Little Ice Age when rivers that are normally ice-free froze and snow fields remained year-round at lower altitudes. It was called the Maunder Minimum, after Edward Maunder, a British accountant who saw a sunspot like a tack in the Sun while he was walking home, and subsequently made counting and analyzing sunspots, rather than money, his lifes work. There have been other Minimums. The Dalton Minimum of 1800 to 1810 was that period when Napoleon had his unfortunate encounter with the Russian winter. If there were such a thing as a perfect storm, this might be it. Cooling earth, raising food prices, rampant unemployment, political instability, a politicized scientific community - - our metaphorical "unfortunate encounter with the Russian winter"...
133
posted on
03/09/2008 10:38:03 AM PDT
by
GOPJ
(A baby can't say Chinese additives makes the formula taste “funny" ... or poisonous,)
To: FBD
Great response!
You must know how I hate typoes!
And while I’m a Standup Philosopher, that’s no BS.
134
posted on
03/09/2008 10:45:34 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
The Sun on Vacation: Day 65 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.
Sunday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:03:09
Julian Day Number : 2454535.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2067.629
Observed Flux Density : 0069.9
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.0
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.1
Has anyone else noticed how the observed flux and the adjusted seem to be getting closer together? At the start of this watch they were farther apart than now. I'm guessing it's because Earth's elliptical orbit is bringing us closer to the sun.
135
posted on
03/09/2008 11:13:48 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
>”You must know how I hate typoes!”<
-Yeah, but that one was way tooo funny. I couldn’t resist.
;^)
>”And while Im a Standup Philosopher, thats no BS.”<
[rimshot] da-dum-bump...
-heheh, and a standup comedian too, eh?
-BTW, Thanks for the SF update.
136
posted on
03/09/2008 7:13:00 PM PDT
by
FBD
(My carbon footprint is bigger then yours)
To: Rurudyne
The Sun on Vacation: Day 66 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.
Monday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:03:10
Julian Day Number : 2454536.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2067.666
Observed Flux Density : 0070.7
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.7
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.8
In a perfect world political forums would be a lot less lively, and those dedicated to the Transformers (TM) more so.
137
posted on
03/10/2008 12:55:09 PM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
The Sun on Vacation: Day 67 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.
Tuesday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:03:11
Julian Day Number : 2454537.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2067.702
Observed Flux Density : 0070.6
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.7
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.8
My Online Fiction: Or how I spend the rest of my time....
Transformers: Genesis
Transformers: Forgotten Wars
The Hall of Dead Gods (episode 2 complete)
The Mythopoetic Clock (background/subtext)
"I'm Rurudyne, and I approve of this shameless self-promotion."
138
posted on
03/11/2008 10:52:06 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
The Sun on Vacation: Day 68 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.
Wednesday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:03:12
Julian Day Number : 2454538.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2067.739
Observed Flux Density : 0069.6
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0068.7
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0061.9
You know, this is a bit like standing near the surf watching the waves roll back and forth. You know that sooner or later your feet will get wet, but you don't know when.
139
posted on
03/12/2008 11:06:10 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
To: Rurudyne
The Sun on Vacation: Day 69 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum
Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.
Thursday Update
Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:03:13
Julian Day Number : 2454539.197
Carrington Rotation Number : 2067.776
Observed Flux Density : 0070.0
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.1
URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.2
140
posted on
03/13/2008 10:53:54 AM PDT
by
Rurudyne
(Standup Philosopher)
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