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Why Republicans Will Lose in 2008
Men's News Daily ^ | February 6, 2008 | David R. Usher

Posted on 02/12/2008 6:29:05 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

G.O.P party-line bombast has failed to generate the level of buzz needed to effectively counter the looming Democrat invasion on the Presidency and Congress. I do admit it is a tall order overcoming an irrelevant American Idol side-show addicted to whether a black or woman might become the first to attain the Presidency. Republicans would not be playing third fiddle to a freak show if they had anything of substance for voters to chew on.

Even Drudge has been headlining Democratic races with only cursory attention paid to Republicans. If Republicans had individuals running on truly visionary policies energizing the Republican base, Drudge would not have had to assume the visage of CNN in order to stay on top of the ratings game.

Primary results to date strongly indicate that former Republican voters are disaffected or are changing parties. For example, in the bell-weather state of Missouri 808,461 votes were cast for a Democratic presidential candidate, against slightly over 550,000 votes for a Republican candidate. That Ann Coulter is ready to vote for Hillary warns of the three-alarm fire burning for years that RNC firefighters still refuse to respond to.

The relatively-even numbers between McCain, Romney, and Huckabee are not a reflection of the strength of the three candidates. None is clearly a strong candidate the base is inured to. The base is going elsewhere, voting Democrat or watching the real American Idol because this election is quickly becoming too painful to watch.

Republicans will lose in 2008 predominantly because they have no social policy agenda to run on (opposing same-sex marriage and abortion does not count as social policy because neither impacts the exploding trends of illegitimacy and non-marriage). The conservative base knows this, expects better, and hasn’t heard word one from any Republican candidate yet.

Mike Huckabee is the only candidate doing more than mouthing the oft-recited generalization about the “importance of marriage”. At a whistle stop on Monday he commented, “A government ought to undergird a family… and not undermine a mother and father’s rights to raise their own kids.” It seems that Mr. Huckabee is warming up to the political advantages of seizing social issues from the Democrats — but missed a golden opportunity to call out a federal policy change to effect this truth.

Imagine this: What would voters think if Republicans talked incessantly about the “importance of stopping terrorism” and then did nothing to stop terrorism? They would be laughed out of Washington. Voters have been laughing Republicans out of office since 1996 for failure to deal with core kitchen-table social issues that voters are extremely interested in.

I have been sending Mr. Huckabee much information on pro-marriage policy for months, with some very positive feedback from a few individuals on his staff. Since I have not heard from his new campaign management team leadership, and Mike has not been running on a “Marriage Values” or “Marriage Economy” policy slate, it appears he might not be getting what he needs to win from his campaign team.

I attempted to provide the same information to all presidential candidates. McCain and his team simply walked away from me without even accepting a paper on it at the Southern Republican Leadership Conference last spring. Calls and emails to the Romney and Ron Paul campaigns went unanswered. Thompson had no contact information and was unreachable.

Since Democrats are presenting Obama as a reincarnation of John F. Kennedy [snicker], Republicans think resurrecting Reagan will win them the Presidency. This will fly like a granite blimp on crack. The American Conservative Union will go ballistic if McCain tries to play this card at their convention [another snicker]. At least the ACU knows a joke when somebody tells one.

None of the Republican candidates are nearly Reaganesque, and it would not win the presidency if they were. From a knowledgeable view, Reagan was as dead wrong on social policy as Democrats and Republicans (then and now). Trickle-down spending combined with burgeoning welfare expenditures left America with tremendous national deficits that took years to pay down after he left office. This occurred again during the Bush years, and Republican’s don’t want to take responsibility for their mistake.

Republicans still do not understand that neither social or economic conservatives can't get what they want unless we apply trickle-down economic theory to the marriage market. A “Marriage Economy” campaign slate requires a marriage of economic and social conservatives (who for differing but parallel reasons) can collectively change America for the better via a concerted team policy effort spanning social and economic policies. When we bootstrap the marriage market and the economy simultaneously, everyone will get what the want and need, and federal spending needs will decline substantially.

Marriage is a “living” market, like any other market. The federal government spends hundreds of billions annually destroying families under a variety of programs modeled after the Carter-Mondale Act of 1974. This prototypical bill combined a program investigating how much child abuse was out there with a program entitling the finding of child abuse under every rock. It turned into a monster. The McMartin, Little Rascals, and Fells Acres false child-abuse debacles came about because of Carter-Mondale.

The Violence Against Women Act (VAWA) is a 1990’s descendant of Carter-Mondale, but far more dangerous, because it does not involve programming a child. All one needs is an allegation or a statement of fear to send government machinery into warp drive. The Duke Rape Case scandal is just one of perhaps millions similar faceless cases that go one every day in family and criminal courts. Allegations and fear now runs family and criminal law and public policy in the United States, with the full endorsement of the American Bar Association Board of Governors. This has filled our prisons to the point that we have more people in prison, as a percent of population, than any other nation including Russia – an additional drag on the economy coinciding with parallel decreases in productivity.

Child support reforms are required at the federal level: billions are spent entitling states to set child support with no checks, balances, or caps on what states can order. Child support orders are out of control. In fact, even Hillary Clinton took this up in her campaign, as reported by Glenn Sacks and Mike McCormick in their articles “Hillary Clinton Proposes Reforming Child Support System to Help Dads” and “Hillary Clinton’s Youth Opportunity Agenda Will Help Low-Income Fathers”.

Unfortunately, Hillary’s plans would not restore marriage: her goal is to restore the previous welfare state directly funded by the American public – bringing in many more billions to directly destroy a free marriage market. But Hillary is pandering to the male vote, and the poor single-mother vote, hoping they won’t see the difference between permanent entitlement of non-marriage and letting the marriage market build a nation of strong families raising children naturally, ready to go to school, prepared for adulthood, energized to work hard, succeed, and make America a much more competitive player in the future order of the world.

The economic successes of Japan in the latter half of the 20th century, Korea in the 1990’s, and now China occurred because these countries refuse to socialize the marriage market. These countries achieved dominance de-socializing business, harnessing the extant human-power of their strong marriage markets, and become very strong competitors in world markets. They have a decisive advantage because corporate revenues and government resources can be nearly fully reinvested in infrastructure, education, and R&D; while America is saddled with high taxes and social expenditures that do nothing but create more social problems and attempt to cover them up.

Both Hillary and Obama have many messages on social issues. Republicans have none. On this wide scope of important voter kitchen issues, Republicans are the clear losers.

I have long recommended the Republican party apply frontal “Marriage Values” and “Marriage Economy” policy-based campaign agenda – which will unquestionably bring about another Republican Revolution — powered by the same voter concerns that brought about the Republican “family values” revolution in the early 1990’s.

I am pleased to say that leadership at Heritage and Family Research Council is listening, and has recently changed their positions on some important perspectives. Perhaps in another four to eight years conservatives will finally be ready to work together completing the two most important parts of welfare reform not handled in the 1996 welfare reforms: reducing out-of-wedlock births and improving marriage rates and retention.

Until then, the Republican Party, having become a homunculus of itself, will continue shrinking until it walks away from its self-imposed deaf-and-dumb censorship of social issues. This classic Abilene paradox cost Republicans their majorities in the House and Senate. It will cost them the Presidency and additional Congressional seats in 2008. When the GOP is sick and tired of losing and is ready to listen to the answers, we will be ready to re-engage.

Until then, the GOP might as well go fishing for voters. Those who would vote Republican are not excited about sending in third-rate candidates to not fix world-class problems. Give us first-rate candidates ready to do the job and voters will back them to the hilt.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

David R. Usher is Senior Policy Analyst for the True Equality Network, and President of the American Coalition for Fathers and Children, Missouri Coalition


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; family; gop; marriage; republican; republicans; socialissues; valuesvotes
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This is part I of at least two parts.
1 posted on 02/12/2008 6:29:10 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
You realize post 2010 the election districts will be redrawn. If RATs ride the Obama Sunami, the conservatives won't have to worry about winning back the House, Senate, or Presidency for at least 10-15 years.

By then Amerika will look much different anyway ...

2 posted on 02/12/2008 6:33:58 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Democratic presidential candidate”

This bugs me to no end. It is not the democartic candidate. It is the democrat candidate. THis interchangeable use of this term is by design. They, being republicans and democrats are part of the democratic processes. One is not more democratic than the other, in theory anyway. But that is what the perception is for the morons of the voting public. (for those who want to say something about my capitalization of the parties, I just didn’t feel like it).


3 posted on 02/12/2008 6:34:50 PM PST by Bruinator ("It's the Media Stupid.")
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To: Bruinator

PLENTY OF OTHER MISTAKES TOO, BUT I HAVE A 3 YEAR OLD AND 18 MONTH OLD CRAWLING ON ME. THE THINGS I GO THROUGH.


4 posted on 02/12/2008 6:36:21 PM PST by Bruinator ("It's the Media Stupid.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Republican party has left it’s base. Pretty sure that is a “death toll” for any party. Look at the democrats. They left their base and now have become an anti-American party.

I DO NOT want that to happen to us, but yet, have a sneaking suspicion it’s already started.

5 posted on 02/12/2008 6:36:37 PM PST by NoGrayZone (A Lesser Evil Is Still Evil.)
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To: 11th_VA

The Dems have to survive the 2010 elections before they can redraw the Districts.


6 posted on 02/12/2008 6:39:08 PM PST by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
If McCain wins and behaves like a Democrat as he has promised to do, it will set the conservative movement back 100 years as McCain will be the movement's de facto face, even if he himself is not a conservative. If you don't believe me, look at how many Democrats and Independents believe that Bush is a "conservative."

The GOP brand is pretty much destroyed for the 2008 election thanks to Bush and the GOP Congress that was in power from 2001 to 2007. Our best hope, as the country is in for dark times anyway, is to retool for the 2010 congressional elections and hopefully retake the presidency with a real conservative in 2012. I predict that if Obama is the Democrat party nominee, that Juan McCain will go down in flames as few conservatives will support him, and the independents and Democrats who helped him during the primary season will go for Obama. The silver lining in this is that McCain will never be a credible candidate for president again.

7 posted on 02/12/2008 6:40:14 PM PST by pnh102
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To: Bruinator
It is not the democartic candidate. It is the democrat candidate.

I know how you feel but it was pointed out to me, that it IS the democratIC party not as you believe and I used to... the Democrat party. sorry.

Like me, you will have to find something else to get upset about.

8 posted on 02/12/2008 6:51:13 PM PST by The Bat Lady (I want to vote for somone who won't later call me a bigot, racist or vigilante.)
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To: pnh102
The GOP brand is pretty much destroyed for the 2008 election thanks to Bush and the GOP Congress that was in power from 2001 to 2007.

Here's the irony: President Ronald Reagan set this all in motion way back in 1980 when he chose George H Bush as VP.

The man who tore down The Wall, and surely would have delivered a severe blow to Liberlism if he could have, for whatever reason, chose a running mate who was nothing more than a Country Club Republican, nearly a RINO, and without leadership skills.

And thus began the trip to the basement for the Republican Party.

9 posted on 02/12/2008 6:55:02 PM PST by Balding_Eagle (If America falls, darkness will cover the face of the earth for a thousand years.)
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To: Balding_Eagle
If America falls, darkness will cover the face of the earth for a thousand years

So let us then brace ourselves to our duty, and so bear ourselves that if the American Republic lasts for a thousand years, men will still say, "This was their finest hour."

10 posted on 02/12/2008 7:04:36 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (Support Scouting: Raising boys to be strong men and politically incorrect at the same time.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The United States of America and our futures will have been lost in November due to disgraceful traitorous candidates. Our ancestors are turning in their graves including American patriots in Arlington.


11 posted on 02/12/2008 7:06:17 PM PST by ExTexasRedhead
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To: Mr. Silverback

Somewhere in this dark cloud is a silver lining. We need someone to see it, and a leader to lead us.


12 posted on 02/12/2008 7:13:44 PM PST by Balding_Eagle (If America falls, darkness will cover the face of the earth for a thousand years.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Men’s Daily?

Hahahahaha...now that is just funny.

Hmm, perhaps we could ask Ladies Home Journal about demographic shifts in the outskirts of Cincinnati?

13 posted on 02/12/2008 7:16:15 PM PST by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Isaiah 3.3/Cry havoc and let slip the RINOS)
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To: padre35

It seems like a e-zine that covers men’s family court and rights issues. Why is that funny?


14 posted on 02/12/2008 7:24:04 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Second To None!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

My mistake 2nd division, I thought that it was an article from the paper magazine that covers things like vitamins and mtn bike riding.


15 posted on 02/12/2008 7:31:01 PM PST by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Isaiah 3.3/Cry havoc and let slip the RINOS)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is a good article. You find such good things to post. I would wish the RNC would pay attention.


16 posted on 02/12/2008 7:36:07 PM PST by daylilly
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To: padre35
Men’s Daily?

Hahahahaha...now that is just funny


What's your problem with the article?

It was well reasoned and well layed out.

Try arguing from a point of substance and your position on the issue discussed in this article if you want to convince anyone.
17 posted on 02/12/2008 7:44:48 PM PST by SoConPubbie (McAmnesty is the End Times for the GOP)
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To: padre35

Not a problem, I was just clarifying where the author was coming from, not attacking your post. Have a good night.


18 posted on 02/12/2008 7:46:31 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Second To None!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Elvina; ConservativeTrucker; SavannahJake; PaulZe; AKA Elena; Oshkalaboomboom; ...
+

Freep-mail me to get on or off my pro-life and Catholic List:

Add me / Remove me

Please ping me to note-worthy Pro-Life or Catholic threads, or other threads of interest.

19 posted on 02/12/2008 7:47:10 PM PST by narses (...the spirit of Trent is abroad once more.)
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To: NoGrayZone

The Republicans don’t have a giveaway program, and never will. The Democrats have a big feel good giveaway program going for the votes. A few of us have lived through this bate and switch routine from the Democrats before, it always ends the same way, everyone goes broke. If you are a middle class family, save your money, if you are poor pray, and if you are a rich person, the tax man is coming.
The Republicans have God and Country, and perhaps a little self respect going for them.


20 posted on 02/12/2008 7:56:35 PM PST by ANGGAPO (LayteGulfBeachClub)
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