Still, we can surely dream.
Most of our remaining states are not winner-take all.
Virginia IS winner-take-all, but will most likely go to McCain because of the military vote. We were working really hard for Romney here, and thought we had a shot, but it was an outside shot, and I haven't found all that many Romney people who are switching to Huckabee.
Huckabee is doing a lot of phone calls here, and so is Ron Paul, and I think Romney's going to get a good number of votes.
My guess is that McCain may not get 50%, but will win and take all 68 delegates.
I think we are the last statewide WTA. Some others are WTA by congressional district, and the rest are proportional.
BTW, a 14% margin is not a race. Huckabee hitting 40% would be a race.
Another thing to consider while considering ‘best case scenarios,’ Huckabee does not poll well on Sunday. Many of his voters got to church and eat out, then got to church again.
In the latest Survey USA poll of Virginia, they show Huckabee gaining a lot of ground but half of the poll was conducted before he won on Saturday and wasn’t affected by a bounce.
“Any momentum Huckabee accrued from those wins would only partially be reflected in these interviews, half of which were completed before the results of the Saturday wins were known.”
The second half of the poll was conducted on Sunday which includes a potential bounce but would tend to favor McCain.
“The waters are choppy. The numbers reveal an ebb and flow in the Republican electorate. The data should be interpreted with caution.”